Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yomiuri Giants | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 2 | 6 | 0 |
 Hiroshima Carp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests that the Yomiuri Giants are favored in this matchup, bolstered by their solid 60% home win rate. However, the Hiroshima Carp's recent head-to-head success, winning 5 straight, adds an interesting dynamic. Overall, the Giants' steadier home performance and stronger season averages could see them edge out the Carp in a close contest.
- Yomiuri Giants have a 60% home win rate this season.
- Hiroshima Carp have only a 25% win rate on the road this season.
- Historically, Hiroshima Carp have dominated recent matchups, winning the last 5 meetings against Yomiuri Giants.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yomiuri Giants
- Good recent formYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Strong home recordYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 13 of their last 20 home matches.
13/20 home wins - Weak away recordHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have won 4 of their last 20 away matches.
4/20 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yomiuri Giants at 61% — final result was Yomiuri Giants win, Yomiuri Giants 2-0 Hiroshima Carp.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (84/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hiroshima Carp have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Hiroshima Carp.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yomiuri Giants | Hiroshima Carp |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.28▼ | 1.30▲ |
| -2 | 3.02▼ | 1.33▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.43▼ | 1.53▲ |
| -1 | 1.94 | 1.73 |
| -0.5 | 1.67 | 2.08 |
| +0.5 | 1.59 | 2.23 |
| +1 | 1.35 | 2.79 |
| +1.5 | 1.32▼ | 3.09▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.37▲ | 3.02▼ |
| 5 | 1.44▲ | 2.58▼ |
| 5.5 | 1.69▲ | 2.07▼ |
| 6 | 1.81▲ | 1.90▼ |
| 6.5 | 2.01▲ | 1.74▼ |
| 7 | 2.30▼ | 1.56▼ |
| 7.5 | 2.61▲ | 1.44▼ |
| 8 | 2.91 | 1.33 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 | Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 | Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp?+
Our AI model favors Yomiuri Giants to win, with a 61% probability (Hiroshima Carp 39%).
What time does Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp start?+
First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp?+
Yomiuri Giants: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. Hiroshima Carp: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 2-0.