Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp
Value found
+10.6% edgeYomiuri Giants win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yomiuri Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 6 | 0 |
 Hiroshima Carp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The data suggests that Yomiuri Giants are favored to win this matchup, boasting a 60% home win rate compared to Hiroshima Carp's 25% away success. Historically, the Giants have performed well against the Carp, winning their last encounter decisively 2-0. The Giants have a stronger recent form, scoring an average of 2.9 runs while allowing slightly fewer than the Carp. Overall, the numbers suggest a close game but lean towards a Yomiuri Giants victory.
- Yomiuri Giants have a home win rate of 60% this season.
- Hiroshima Carp's away win rate is significantly lower at 25%.
- In their last 10 games, Yomiuri Giants allowed an average of 3.6 runs per game, while the Carp allowed 4 runs per game.
- Yomiuri Giants won the previous matchup 2-0 against Hiroshima Carp.],
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Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yomiuri Giants
- Strong home recordYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 13 of their last 20 home matches.
13/20 home wins - Weak away recordHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have won 4 of their last 20 away matches.
4/20 away wins - Historical edgeYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants sit 4 places above Hiroshima Carp in the table.
#2 vs #6
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yomiuri Giants at 60% — final result was Yomiuri Giants win, Yomiuri Giants 5-0 Hiroshima Carp.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hiroshima Carp have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Hiroshima Carp.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yomiuri Giants | Hiroshima Carp |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.98 | 1.34 |
| -1 | 2.41 | 1.46 |
| -0.5 | 1.85 | 1.84 |
| +0.5 | 1.73 | 1.98 |
| +1 | 1.53 | 2.28 |
| +1.5 | 1.42 | 2.73 |
| +2 | 1.28 | 3.34 |
| +2.5 | 1.23 | 3.71 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.43 | 2.64 |
| 5 | 1.56 | 2.27 |
| 5.5 | 1.79 | 1.95 |
| 6 | 1.94 | 1.76 |
| 6.5 | 2.13 | 1.64 |
| 7 | 2.52 | 1.45 |
| 7.5 | 2.68 | 1.41 |
| 8 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 | Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 | Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp?+
Our AI model favors Yomiuri Giants to win, with a 60% probability (Hiroshima Carp 40%).
What time does Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 5:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp?+
Yomiuri Giants: 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 3, 0, 0. Hiroshima Carp: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 5-0.