Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp
Value found
+7.8% edgeYomiuri Giants win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yomiuri Giants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
 Hiroshima Carp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-2
The data suggests that the Yomiuri Giants possess a strong edge, having defeated the Hiroshima Carp in their last five meetings. Historically, the Giants have exhibited stronger home performance with a 65% win rate this season, while the Carp struggle significantly on the road with only a 20% success rate. The recent trends indicate Yomiuri's solid scoring ability alongside a favorable defensive record, leading to a predicted final score of 4-2 in favor of the home team.
- Yomiuri Giants have won their last 5 matchups against Hiroshima Carp.
- Hiroshima Carp hold a 20% away win rate this season.
- Yomiuri Giants' recent form includes a 3.3 runs scored and 2.7 runs allowed average over their last 10 games.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Yomiuri Giants
- Strong home recordYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 13 of their last 20 home matches.
13/20 home wins - Weak away recordHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have won 4 of their last 20 away matches.
4/20 away wins - Historical edgeYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Tighter defenseYomiuri Giants
Yomiuri Giants are conceding just 2.6 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.6/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Yomiuri Giants at 65% — final result was Hiroshima Carp win, Yomiuri Giants 2-3 Hiroshima Carp.
Predicted score was 4-2.
This was a high confidence pick (86/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Yomiuri Giants have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hiroshima Carp have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yomiuri Giants are unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings with Hiroshima Carp.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Yomiuri Giants | Hiroshima Carp |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.48 | 1.27 |
| -2 | 3.17 | 1.32 |
| -1.5 | 2.53 | 1.49 |
| -1 | 2.02 | 1.67 |
| -0.5 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| +0.5 | 1.62 | 2.17 |
| +1 | 1.36 | 2.75 |
| +1.5 | 1.33 | 3.08 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.42 | 2.69 |
| 5 | 1.52 | 2.40 |
| 5.5 | 1.77 | 1.97 |
| 6 | 1.92 | 1.78 |
| 6.5 | 2.13 | 1.65 |
| 7 | 2.51 | 1.46 |
| 7.5 | 2.74 | 1.39 |
| 8 | 3.16 | 1.29 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 | Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 | Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp?+
Our AI model favors Yomiuri Giants to win, with a 65% probability (Hiroshima Carp 35%).
What time does Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp start?+
First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Yomiuri Giants vs Hiroshima Carp?+
Yomiuri Giants: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Hiroshima Carp: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0. Final: 2-3.