York vs Bristol Rovers
Match events
- 30'C. Mola (F. Cavegn)
- 43'D. Akinyemi (A. Newby)
- 60'A. Newby (Joe Grey)
- 61'Richard Smallwood (T. Leigh)
- 63'Harry Boyes (O. Pearce)
- 69'J. Quigley (R. Russell-Denny)
- 69'Alex Hunt (Arthur Read)
- 70'O. Banks
- 78'M. Williams
- 78'T. Leigh
- 80'Harry Boyes (A. Newby)
- 83'Harry Boyes (Z. Medley)
- 84'Shaqai Forde (Bobby Kamwa)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 2.3
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Bristol Rovers hold a significant advantage in their recent encounters with York, winning four of the last five meetings. York's last five matches show an average scoring of 1.1 goals, while Bristol's offense averages 1.9 goals per game, which may lead to a favorable outcome for the visitors.
- Bristol Rovers won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against York
- York averaging 1.1 goals scored per game in recent matches
- Bristol Rovers boasting a stronger recent form with 3 wins in their last 5 matches
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors York
- Higher league positionYork
York sit 4 places above Bristol Rovers in the table.
#6 vs #10 - Historical edgeBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.3/game - Tighter defenseBristol Rovers
Bristol Rovers are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked York at 41% — final result was York win, York 3-2 Bristol Rovers.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- York have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Bristol Rovers have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
York
Bristol RoversBristol RoversYorkYorkBristol RoversYorkBristol RoversBristol RoversYorkBristol RoversYorkBristol RoversYorkYorkBristol RoversOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | York | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | DW |
| 10 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | WL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
T. Nield
Based on 21 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
York
Bristol Rovers
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NorthamptonFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win York vs Bristol Rovers?+
Our AI model favors York to win, with a 41% probability (Draw 28%, Bristol Rovers 31%).
What time does York vs Bristol Rovers kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).