Accrington ST vs Colchester
Match events
- 6'Teddy Bishop (J. Leake)
- 24'E. Iandolo (Jack Payne)
- 29'Charlie Caton (Shaun Whalley)
- 45+2'Charlie Caton (Connor O'Brien)
- 46'J. Leake (P. Digby)
- 60'R. Hunt (Oscar Thorn)
- 75'Shaun Whalley (C. Stockton)
- 78'Bradley Ihionvien (Leon Chiwome)
- 80'S. Conneely (Liam Coyle)
- 87'Josh Woods (Alex Henderson)
- 89'J. Anderson
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 2.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Colchester holds an advantage in their recent head-to-head encounters, having won 3 of the last 5 matches against Accrington ST. Accrington's poor form, highlighted by a higher average goals conceded, also favors Colchester, who have shown stronger performance on the road recently.
- Colchester has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against Accrington ST.
- Accrington ST has struggled recently, with an average of 1 goal scored and 1.9 conceded in their last 10 matches.
- Colchester has a better recent away form with a significant win against Cheltenham.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Colchester
- Higher league positionColchester
Colchester sit 14 places above Accrington ST in the table.
#5 vs #19 - Poor recent formAccrington ST
Accrington ST have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L - Poor recent formColchester
Colchester have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Tighter defenseColchester
Colchester are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Colchester at 37.61% — final result was a draw, Accrington ST 2-2 Colchester.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Accrington ST have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Colchester have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Colchester
Accrington STAccrington STColchesterColchesterAccrington STAccrington STColchesterColchesterAccrington STAccrington STColchesterAccrington STColchesterColchesterAccrington STOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Accrington ST | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | LD |
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | WD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
More League Two predictions
Walsall
Grimsby
Salford City
Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
Swindon Town
CheltenhamFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Accrington ST vs Colchester?+
Our AI model favors Colchester to win, with a 37.61% probability (Draw 29.67%, Accrington ST 32.72%).
What time does Accrington ST vs Colchester kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).