Anderlecht vs PAOK
Match events
- 19'Leo Petrot
- 34'Andrija Živković (Taison)
- 43'Baba Rahman
- 46'Baba Rahman (D. Giannoulis)
- 46'Anestis Mythou (Mohamed Mady Camara)
- 47'L. Ambros (G. Biancone)
- 55'D. Sikan (M. Cvetkovic)
- 68'B. Santamaría (Greg Taylor)
- 68'Taison (Alexander Jeremejeff)
- 74'C. Coosemans
- 74'Goal Disallowed - video review — C. Coosemans
- 78'J. Nga Kana (L. Augustinsson)
- 79'D. Sikan (T. Degreef)
- 79'M. N'Diaye (Nathan Saliba)
- 81'L. Ambros
- 81'Christos Zafeiris
- 82'M. Kana (L. Augustinsson)
- 84'E. Llansana (Jayden Onia Seke)
- 84'Christos Zafeiris (Tom Louchet)
- 87'Alexander Jeremejeff
- 90+3'M. Cvetkovic (A. Bertaccini)
- 90+4'Alexander Jeremejeff
- 90+5'Nathan Saliba
- 90'G. Biancone
- 90'Andrija Živković
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 2.2
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-3
Data suggests a competitive matchup between Anderlecht and PAOK. Anderlecht has shown defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2 goals in their recent matches, which may impact their ability to secure a win. In contrast, PAOK's recent scoring average and UEFA experience indicate they have the tools to capitalize on these defensive lapses.
- Anderlecht has conceded an average of 2 goals in their last five matches.
- PAOK's recent matches have seen them score an average of 1.8 goals, indicating offensive capability despite recent struggles.
- The numbers suggest PAOK is more resilient in high-pressure scenarios, as evidenced by their performance in UEFA competitions.
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors PAOK
- Good recent formAnderlecht
Anderlecht have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formPAOK
PAOK have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L - Sharper attackPAOK
PAOK are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.2/game - Tighter defensePAOK
PAOK are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked PAOK at 39% — final result was Anderlecht win, Anderlecht 3-2 PAOK.
Predicted score was 2-3.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (51/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Anderlecht have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- PAOK have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
S. Sozza
Based on 20 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Anderlecht
PAOK
More UEFA Europa League predictions
Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova
FC Iberia 1999
Jagiellonia
Kauno Žalgiris
Beşiktaş
Lillestrom
Egnatia RrogozhinëFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Anderlecht vs PAOK?+
Our AI model favors PAOK to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 27%, Anderlecht 34%).
What time does Anderlecht vs PAOK kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).