Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs

MLB
LWWLRuns 39-573rd in NL West Division · 71-63
WWLLRuns 54-422nd in NL Central Division · 76-58
Home11W 9L(89-83)
Away8W 12L(92-80)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Arizona Diamondbacks
000000000050
Chicago Cubs
0100132007100

AI match analysis

Arizona Diamondbacks win
37.88%
Chicago Cubs win
52.1%

Predicted score: 5-6

The analysis suggests a slight favoring for the Chicago Cubs as they come off a high-scoring performance and have a positive head-to-head history against the Diamondbacks. Arizona's recent form shows inconsistency, with high runs conceded, which might impact their defensive strategy. Given the offensive capabilities of both teams, a high-scoring match is likely.

  • Arizona Diamondbacks have a weaker recent form, averaging 5 runs scored and 5.4 allowed per game in the last 10 matches.
  • Chicago Cubs scored an average of 5 runs while conceding 5 in their last 10 matches, indicating offensive balance.
  • In their last 5 head-to-head encounters, the Chicago Cubs have won 3 times against Arizona, highlighting a competitive edge.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
65/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Chicago Cubs

  • Good recent formArizona Diamondbacks

    Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formChicago Cubs

    Chicago Cubs have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Historical edgeArizona Diamondbacks

    Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Chicago Cubs at 52.1% — final result was Chicago Cubs win, Arizona Diamondbacks 0-7 Chicago Cubs.

Predicted score was 5-6.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Chicago Cubs1.69market 59.3% · model 52.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks2.23market 44.9% · model 37.88%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Arizona Diamondbacks have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chicago Cubs have averaged 5.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Chicago Cubs.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Arizona Diamondbacks2.23best 2.30AI 37.88%
Chicago Cubs1.69best 1.73AI 52.1%

Point spread

LineArizona DiamondbacksChicago Cubs
-1.53.271.31
-12.881.40
+11.951.84
+1.51.762.10
+21.582.37
+2.51.472.63
+31.353.06
+3.51.283.50

Total points

LineOverUnder
7.51.512.49
81.582.32
8.51.722.10
91.911.89
9.52.101.74
102.311.60
10.52.451.52
112.871.38

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Model vs market

Arizona Diamondbacks win-5.2pp
AI
37.88%
Market
43.1%
Chicago Cubs win-4.8pp
AI
52.1%
Market
56.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Arizona Diamondbacks wins
2Chicago Cubs wins
23-25Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs?+

Our AI model favors Chicago Cubs to win, with a 52.1% probability (Arizona Diamondbacks 47.9%).

What time does Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs start?+

First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 1:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs?+

Arizona Diamondbacks: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Chicago Cubs: 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 3, 2, 0, 0. Final: 0-7.