Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs

MLB
LWWLRuns 39-573rd in NL West Division · 71-63
WWLLRuns 54-422nd in NL Central Division · 76-58
Home11W 9L(89-83)
Away8W 12L(92-80)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Arizona Diamondbacks
00000101260
Chicago Cubs
000000000020

AI match analysis

Arizona Diamondbacks win
45%
Chicago Cubs win
45%

Predicted score: 5-5

Data suggests a closely matched contest between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs, with both teams scoring heavily in recent games. Historical performance shows that the Cubs have had a slight edge in their last five encounters, but the Diamondbacks are playing at home, where they have been able to score reasonably well. The predicted score reflects the offensive capabilities of both teams, resulting in a potentially high-scoring game.

  • Arizona Diamondbacks have averaged 4.9 goals scored in their last 10 matches
  • Chicago Cubs have a slightly better goal average of 5.8 scored in their last 10 matches
  • Recent head-to-head indicates competitive balance with both teams winning two matches each
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
53/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Good recent formArizona Diamondbacks

    Arizona Diamondbacks have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formChicago Cubs

    Chicago Cubs have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Historical edgeChicago Cubs

    Chicago Cubs have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 45% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Arizona Diamondbacks at 45% — final result was Arizona Diamondbacks win, Arizona Diamondbacks 2-0 Chicago Cubs.

Predicted score was 5-5.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (53/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Arizona Diamondbacks1.90market 52.6% · model 45%
Chicago Cubs1.93market 51.7% · model 45%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Arizona Diamondbacks have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Chicago Cubs have averaged 5.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Chicago Cubs.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Arizona Diamondbacks1.90best 1.94AI 45%
Chicago Cubs1.93best 2.01AI 45%

Point spread

LineArizona DiamondbacksChicago Cubs
-23.481.29
-1.52.781.43
-12.331.58
+11.682.16
+1.51.552.46
+21.402.84
+2.51.333.18
+31.263.54

Total points

LineOverUnder
71.412.82
7.51.592.30
81.692.15
8.51.861.97
92.031.75
9.52.261.62
102.501.51
10.52.691.43

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Arizona Diamondbacks1.90 0.01
Chicago Cubs1.93 0.02
26 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Arizona Diamondbacks win-5.4pp
AI
45%
Market
50.4%
Chicago Cubs win-4.6pp
AI
45%
Market
49.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Arizona Diamondbacks wins
3Chicago Cubs wins
21-32Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs?+

Our AI model favors Arizona Diamondbacks to win, with a 45% probability (Chicago Cubs 55%).

What time does Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs start?+

First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 7:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs?+

Arizona Diamondbacks: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1. Chicago Cubs: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 2-0.