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Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
Austria Vienna
1–2After Penalties
Beitar Jerusalem
LLWLGoals 9-15
WDDWGoals 17-14

Value found

+3.7% edge

Austria Vienna win

2.6AI fair odds
2.69Bookmaker odds
+3.7%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 25'Boris Enow
  2. 33'O. Atzili (N. Antwi)
  3. 56'J. Kalu
  4. 58'K. Boateng
  5. 59'Philipp Maybach (F. Wustinger)
  6. 59'Moritz Wels (Reinhold Ranftl)
  7. 59'J. Hettwer (S. Saljic)
  8. 63'O. Atzili
  9. 65'N. Shedo (R. Elimelech)
  10. 66'J. Kalu (T. Yosefi)
  11. 66'N. Muche (T. Muzie)
  12. 70'M. Schablas
  13. 72'K. Boateng (H. Deshishku)
  14. 75'L. Gadrani (Liel Deri)
  15. 78'M. Schablas (Lee Tae-Seok)
  16. 92'Reinhold Ranftl
  17. 99'T. Yosefi
  18. 105'D. Nnodim (Lee Kang-hee)
  19. 105'O. Atzili (E. Ansah)
  20. 106'D. Worko (Z. Ben Shimol)
  21. 111'Lee Tae-Seok
  22. 113'F. Wustinger
  23. 114'N. Antwi
  24. 120+1'Manfred Fischer
  25. 120+1'B. Carabali
  26. 120+2'Lee Tae-Seok
  27. 120+2'T. Yosefi
  28. 120+3'Reinhold Ranftl
  29. 120+3'E. Ansah
  30. 120+4'V. Markovic
  31. 120+4'T. Muzie

Lineups

Austria Vienna
Beitar Jerusalem
3-4-34-3-3
1. Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
4
4. J. Feddersen
15. Aleksandar Dragović
← 105'
40. D. Nnodim
← 78'
21. M. Schablas
← 59'
6. Philipp Maybach
7. V. Markovic
← 59'
37. Moritz Wels
14
← 72'
14. K. Boateng
20
← 59'
20. J. Hettwer
30. Manfred Fischer
9
← 66'
9. J. Kalu
7
7. Y. Shua
77
← 105'
77. O. Atzili
26
← 106'
26. D. Worko
40
40. Boris Enow
15
← 66'
15. N. Muche
16
16. Y. Cohen
44
← 75'
44. L. Gadrani
4
4. B. Carabali
2
2. N. Antwi
55
55. João Miguel
S. HelmCoachAlmog Cohen
Bench (11)
Bench (11)
Austria ViennaBeitar Jerusalem
0.9
Goals/game
1.7
1.5
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Austria Vienna win
38.51%
Draw
24.95%
Beitar Jerusalem win
36.54%
54.5%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
20.2%Austria Vienna clean sheet
31.7%Beitar Jerusalem clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The stats suggest a closely contested match between Austria Vienna and Beitar Jerusalem. Beitar Jerusalem's ability to score and defend better than Austria Vienna, coupled with the latter's recent home defeats, indicates a potential struggle for the home side. The numbers favor a draw, with both teams showing inconsistencies in recent performances.

  • Beitar Jerusalem's last 10 matches show a stronger scoring average at 1.7 goals per game compared to Austria Vienna's 0.9
  • Austria Vienna has lost their last two home matches against Lask Linz, indicating struggles on home soil
  • Beitar Jerusalem has maintained a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.1 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
48/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Austria Vienna

  • Sharper attackBeitar Jerusalem

    Beitar Jerusalem are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Tighter defenseBeitar Jerusalem

    Beitar Jerusalem are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded
  • Poor recent formAustria Vienna

    Austria Vienna have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong recent formBeitar Jerusalem

    Beitar Jerusalem are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.

    2W 3D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Austria Vienna at 38.51% — final result was Beitar Jerusalem win, Austria Vienna 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (48/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Beitar Jerusalem ✓2.32market 43.1% · model 36.54%
Austria Vienna2.69market 37.1% · model 38.51%
Draw3.59market 27.8% · model 24.95%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Austria Vienna have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Beitar Jerusalem have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Austria Vienna2.69▲best 2.90
Draw3.59▲best 3.90
Beitar Jerusalem2.32▼best 2.82

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.66▼best 1.70
Under 2.52.13▲best 2.23

Both teams to score

Yes1.57▼best 1.62
No2.26▲best 2.35

Double chance

Austria Vienna/Draw1.55▲best 1.62
Austria Vienna/Beitar Jerusalem1.24▼best 1.28
Draw/Beitar Jerusalem1.43▼best 1.56

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.25▼best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.75▲best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25▲best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75▼best 3.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Austria Vienna2.69▲ 0.49
Draw3.59▼ 0.01
Beitar Jerusalem2.32▼ 0.43
12 Aug – 13 Aug

Model vs market

Austria Vienna win+4.1pp
AI
38.51%
Market
34.4%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
24.95%
Market
25.7%
Beitar Jerusalem win-3.4pp
AI
36.54%
Market
39.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Austria Vienna

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
22.2%
61-75'
22.2%
76-90+'
11.1%

Beitar Jerusalem

0-15'
20%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
60%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem?+

Our AI model favors Austria Vienna to win, with a 38.51% probability (Draw 24.95%, Beitar Jerusalem 36.54%).

What time does Austria Vienna vs Beitar Jerusalem kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).