Avai vs Sport Recife
Match events
- 44'Felipinho (Edson Lucas)
- 46'Léo Chú (Jean Lucas)
- 47'Paulo Vitor
- 66'Diego Hernandez (Edson Lucas)
- 67'Marlon Douglas (Juan Alano)
- 68'Paulo Vitor (Gabriel Cipriano)
- 69'Allyson (Romildo Del Piage)
- 73'Romildo Del Piage
- 83'Pedro Perotti (Zé Roberto)
- 84'Augusto (Claudinho)
- 84'Clayson (Dudu)
- 88'Felipe Vizeu (Leo Gamalho)
- 88'William (Douglas Teixeira)
- 90+3'Claudinho
- 90'Leo Gamalho (Gabriel Cipriano)
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 2.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The statistical data suggests a competitive matchup, as Avai has shown some recent resilience with two wins in their last five outings, while Sport Recife's form has dipped with three losses from their last five. Avai's home scoring average is slightly better, but Sport Recife's overall standing indicates a stronger season thus far. The numbers indicate a possibility of a draw, given the history and the current form of both teams.
- Sport Recife has lost 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring only 3 goals in that span.
- Avai has an average of 1.6 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches.
- Historically, the last five encounters have closely contested matches, with both teams winning twice and one draw.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Avai
- Tighter defenseAvai
Avai are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded - Higher league positionSport Recife
Sport Recife sit 10 places above Avai in the table.
#6 vs #16 - Sharper attackAvai
Avai are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.5/game - Historical edgeAvai
Avai have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Avai at 42.58% — final result was Avai win, Avai 2-1 Sport Recife.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Avai have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sport Recife have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Avai
Sport RecifeSport RecifeAvaiSport RecifeAvaiAvaiSport RecifeSport RecifeAvaiAvaiSport RecifeAvaiSport RecifeSport RecifeAvaiOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 29 | WWLL |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | +10 | 38 | LWWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Vitor Gobi
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Avai
Sport Recife
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CRBFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Avai vs Sport Recife?+
Our AI model favors Avai to win, with a 42.58% probability (Draw 29.61%, Sport Recife 27.81%).
What time does Avai vs Sport Recife kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 10:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).