Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians

MLB
LWWLRuns 41-665th in NL West Division · 52-81
WWWWRuns 49-262nd in AL Central Division · 68-66
Home4W 16L(82-129)
Away16W 4L(96-52)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Colorado Rockies
100000000162
Cleveland Guardians
0012113019140

AI match analysis

Colorado Rockies win
37.86%
Cleveland Guardians win
53.95%

Predicted score: 4-6

Data suggests that the Cleveland Guardians have a significant historical advantage over the Colorado Rockies, winning all five of their most recent matchups. The Rockies' recent form shows a concerning trend, scoring an average of 4.3 runs while conceding 5.9 in their last ten games, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, the Guardians have solidified their performance with a favorable run differential lately, leading to a prediction that favors them in this matchup.

  • Cleveland Guardians have won the last 5 encounters against the Rockies
  • Colorado Rockies are averaging 4.3 runs scored but 5.9 runs conceded in last 10 matches
  • Cleveland Guardians have a stronger recent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cleveland Guardians

  • Poor recent formColorado Rockies

    Colorado Rockies have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong recent formCleveland Guardians

    Cleveland Guardians are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Historical edgeCleveland Guardians

    Cleveland Guardians have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cleveland Guardians at 53.95% — final result was Cleveland Guardians win, Colorado Rockies 1-9 Cleveland Guardians.

Predicted score was 4-6.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cleveland Guardians1.65market 60.7% · model 53.95%
Colorado Rockies2.28market 43.9% · model 37.86%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Colorado Rockies have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Cleveland Guardians have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Colorado Rockies are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Cleveland Guardians.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Colorado Rockies2.28best 2.35AI 37.86%
Cleveland Guardians1.65best 1.73AI 53.95%

Point spread

LineColorado RockiesCleveland Guardians
-1.53.241.32
-12.811.42
+12.011.79
+1.51.831.99
+21.652.21
+2.51.552.40
+31.432.76
+3.51.363.00

Total points

LineOverUnder
91.422.72
9.51.592.32
101.662.17
10.51.811.99
111.971.83
11.52.141.68
122.341.57
12.52.501.51

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Model vs market

Colorado Rockies win-4pp
AI
37.86%
Market
41.9%
Cleveland Guardians win-4.1pp
AI
53.95%
Market
58.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Colorado Rockies wins
4Cleveland Guardians wins
17-32Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians?+

Our AI model favors Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 53.95% probability (Colorado Rockies 46.05%).

What time does Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians start?+

First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians?+

Colorado Rockies: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Cleveland Guardians: 0, 0, 1, 2, 1, 1, 3, 0, 1. Final: 1-9.