Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians

MLB
LWWLRuns 41-665th in NL West Division · 52-81
WWWWRuns 49-262nd in AL Central Division · 68-66
Home4W 16L(82-129)
Away16W 4L(96-52)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Colorado Rockies
020000000270
Cleveland Guardians
3201000107120

AI match analysis

Colorado Rockies win
36%
Cleveland Guardians win
56%

Predicted score: 4-5

The numbers suggest that the Cleveland Guardians may have the upper hand entering this matchup, having won their last three encounters with the Colorado Rockies. While the Rockies have been scoring at a decent rate, their defensive struggles are evident with an average of 5.9 runs conceded in recent games. Conversely, the Guardians not only have the advantage in head-to-head matchups but also display a solid scoring ability coupled with strong defense.

  • Cleveland Guardians won last 3 matches against Colorado Rockies in 2026
  • Colorado Rockies averaging 4.7 runs scored but 5.9 runs conceded in last 10 matches
  • Cleveland Guardians showing strong recent form, averaging 4.3 runs scored and only 2.8 runs conceded in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
70/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cleveland Guardians

  • Poor recent formColorado Rockies

    Colorado Rockies have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong recent formCleveland Guardians

    Cleveland Guardians are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Historical edgeCleveland Guardians

    Cleveland Guardians have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Cleveland Guardians at 56% — final result was Cleveland Guardians win, Colorado Rockies 2-7 Cleveland Guardians.

Predicted score was 4-5.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (70/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cleveland Guardians1.58market 63.2% · model 56%
Colorado Rockies2.42market 41.3% · model 36%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Colorado Rockies have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Cleveland Guardians have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Colorado Rockies are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Cleveland Guardians.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Colorado Rockies2.42best 2.51AI 36%
Cleveland Guardians1.58best 1.64AI 56%

Point spread

LineColorado RockiesCleveland Guardians
-13.081.35
+12.171.68
+1.51.931.89
+21.772.04
+2.51.622.25
+31.512.51
+3.51.402.88
+41.273.40

Total points

LineOverUnder
9.51.522.48
101.562.37
10.51.682.15
111.821.97
11.52.011.82
122.141.68
12.52.281.60
132.601.47

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Colorado Rockies2.42 0.03
Cleveland Guardians1.58 0.01
23 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Colorado Rockies win-3.5pp
AI
36%
Market
39.5%
Cleveland Guardians win-4.5pp
AI
56%
Market
60.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Colorado Rockies wins
4Cleveland Guardians wins
16-34Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians?+

Our AI model favors Cleveland Guardians to win, with a 56% probability (Colorado Rockies 44%).

What time does Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians start?+

First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians?+

Colorado Rockies: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Cleveland Guardians: 3, 2, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0. Final: 2-7.