CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Match events
- 13'D. Peretz (Osher Davida)
- 26'I. Pittas
- 26'Bruno Jordão
- 31'Mohamed Camara
- 31'D. Peretz
- 46'Bruno Jordão (J. Eto'o)
- 54'Mohamed Camara (Noam Ben Harush)
- 56'S. Sensi
- 61'E. Sokler (Osher Davida)
- 66'S. Sensi (J. Eto'o)
- 69'Osher Davida (Hélio Varela)
- 69'F. Lapoukhov
- 71'L. Godoy (J. Zwarts)
- 74'A. Yordanov (M. Brahimi)
- 79'E. Sokler (Saied Abu Farchi)
- 79'Osher Davida (Elad Madmon)
- 80'Issouf Sissokho
- 82'Elad Madmon
- 84'Ido Shahar (Kervin Andrade)
- 88'M. Ebong
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 2.2
- 1.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a balanced encounter, with both teams struggling for consistency. CSKA Sofia's recent form includes four losses in their last five matches, which could hinder their performance. Conversely, Maccabi Tel Aviv has been more productive offensively, averaging 2 goals scored in their last ten games, although they have shown a tendency to concede. Overall, a closely contested match leading to a predicted draw seems plausible.
- CSKA Sofia has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Maccabi Tel Aviv has scored an average of 2 goals in their last 10 matches
- CSKA Sofia averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game recently
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors CSKA Sofia
- Sharper attackMaccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Tel Aviv are averaging 2.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.2/game - Poor recent formCSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Tighter defenseCSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia are conceding just 1.1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked CSKA Sofia at 39% — final result was Maccabi Tel Aviv win, CSKA Sofia 1-3 Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (51/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- CSKA Sofia have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Maccabi Tel Aviv have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. Schlager
Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Who is likely to win CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?+
Our AI model favors CSKA Sofia to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 28%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 33%).
What time does CSKA Sofia vs Maccabi Tel Aviv kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).