Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 4 | 8 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-4
The data suggests a challenging match for the Detroit Tigers, who have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 10 outings. Conversely, the Tampa Bay Rays have dominated in recent encounters, winning four of the last five matchups against the Tigers, which might indicate they have the upper hand heading into this game.
- Tampa Bay Rays won last 5 matches against Detroit Tigers
- Detroit Tigers averaging 3.6 runs scored and 5.6 runs allowed in last 10 matches
- Tampa Bay Rays average 3.7 runs scored and 5.1 runs allowed in last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Tampa Bay Rays
- Poor recent formDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formTampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeTampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Tampa Bay Rays at 50% — final result was Detroit Tigers win, Detroit Tigers 4-1 Tampa Bay Rays.
Predicted score was 3-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (61/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Detroit Tigers have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Tampa Bay Rays have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Detroit Tigers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Tampa Bay Rays.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Detroit Tigers | Tampa Bay Rays |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 4.03▼ | 1.23▲ |
| -1.5 | 3.19▼ | 1.34▲ |
| -1 | 2.67▼ | 1.44▲ |
| +1 | 1.82▼ | 1.96▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.64▲ | 2.27▼ |
| +2 | 1.48 | 2.61▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.40▲ | 2.92▼ |
| +3 | 1.29▲ | 3.47▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.37▼ | 2.94▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.50▼ | 2.53▲ |
| 7 | 1.62▼ | 2.24▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.86▼ | 1.97▲ |
| 8 | 1.96▼ | 1.80▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.14▼ | 1.68▲ |
| 9 | 2.42▼ | 1.52▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.71▼ | 1.45▲ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays?+
Our AI model favors Tampa Bay Rays to win, with a 50% probability (Detroit Tigers 50%).
What time does Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 10:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays?+
Detroit Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 0, 3, 0, 1, 0. Tampa Bay Rays: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 4-1.

