Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

MLB
LLWLRuns 32-474th in AL Central Division · 62-71
WWLWRuns 36-411st in AL East Division · 79-54
Home5W 15L(73-98)
Away8W 12L(82-89)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Detroit Tigers
000100000151
Tampa Bay Rays
200101000490

AI match analysis

Detroit Tigers win
40.63%
Tampa Bay Rays win
48.85%

Predicted score: 3-5

Data suggests that the Tampa Bay Rays have recently been more successful against the Detroit Tigers in their head-to-head matchups, winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters. Additionally, the Tigers' current losing streak, combined with their defensive struggles, indicates a challenging matchup ahead for them. Conversely, while the Rays have also struggled defensively, their more stable recent form could lead them to capitalize on the Tigers' current weaknesses.

  • Tampa Bay Rays won 3 of the last 5 matchups against Detroit Tigers
  • Detroit Tigers lost last 5 games, averaging 3.8 scored and 5.2 conceded
  • Tampa Bay Rays have a scoring average of 3.8 but allowed 5.6 goals in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
60/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Tampa Bay Rays

  • Poor recent formDetroit Tigers

    Detroit Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Good recent formTampa Bay Rays

    Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Historical edgeDetroit Tigers

    Detroit Tigers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 49% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Tampa Bay Rays at 48.85% — final result was Tampa Bay Rays win, Detroit Tigers 1-4 Tampa Bay Rays.

Predicted score was 3-5.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Tampa Bay Rays1.75market 57% · model 48.85%
Detroit Tigers2.12market 47.2% · model 40.63%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Detroit Tigers have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Tampa Bay Rays have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Detroit Tigers are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Tampa Bay Rays.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Detroit Tigers2.12best 2.20AI 40.63%
Tampa Bay Rays1.75best 1.80AI 48.85%

Point spread

LineDetroit TigersTampa Bay Rays
-1.53.211.33
-12.721.44
+11.841.95
+1.51.662.26
+21.482.64
+2.51.392.93
+31.293.52
+3.51.234.05

Total points

LineOverUnder
61.372.93
6.51.512.52
71.612.27
7.51.881.94
81.961.80
8.52.161.68
92.451.51
9.52.761.44

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Detroit Tigers2.12 0.04
Tampa Bay Rays1.75 0.04
24 Aug24 Aug

Model vs market

Detroit Tigers win-4.7pp
AI
40.63%
Market
45.3%
Tampa Bay Rays win-5.9pp
AI
48.85%
Market
54.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Detroit Tigers wins
2Tampa Bay Rays wins
16-14Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays?+

Our AI model favors Tampa Bay Rays to win, with a 48.85% probability (Detroit Tigers 51.15%).

What time does Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays start?+

First pitch is at Aug 24, 2026, 10:40 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays?+

Detroit Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Tampa Bay Rays: 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 1-4.