Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays

MLB
LLWLRuns 32-474th in AL Central Division · 62-71
WWLWRuns 36-411st in AL East Division · 79-54
Home5W 15L(73-98)
Away8W 12L(82-89)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Detroit Tigers
000000000020
Tampa Bay Rays
020001000380

AI match analysis

Detroit Tigers win
46%
Tampa Bay Rays win
44%

Predicted score: 3-4

The recent form indicates that the Detroit Tigers have struggled defensively, averaging 4.8 goals conceded over their last ten games. Conversely, the Tampa Bay Rays have also had difficulties on defense, with an average of 5.1 goals conceded in the same timeframe. However, the Tigers have a strong head-to-head record against the Rays, winning 4 of their last 5 matchups. This suggests a competitive game with a slight edge for the Rays based on their current form.

  • Tigers scored 3.5 and conceded 4.8 in last 10 matches
  • Rays scored 3.5 and conceded 5.1 in last 10 matches
  • Tigers won 4 of last 5 encounters against Rays
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
54/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Detroit Tigers

  • Poor recent formDetroit Tigers

    Detroit Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Good recent formTampa Bay Rays

    Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Historical edgeDetroit Tigers

    Detroit Tigers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 46% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Detroit Tigers at 46% — final result was Tampa Bay Rays win, Detroit Tigers 0-3 Tampa Bay Rays.

Predicted score was 3-4.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (54/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Detroit Tigers1.82market 54.8% · model 46%
Tampa Bay Rays2.01market 49.6% · model 44%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Detroit Tigers have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Tampa Bay Rays have averaged 3.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Detroit Tigers are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Tampa Bay Rays.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Detroit Tigers1.82best 1.88AI 46%
Tampa Bay Rays2.01best 2.09AI 44%

Point spread

LineDetroit TigersTampa Bay Rays
-2.53.671.27
-23.311.33
-1.52.681.46
-12.201.65
+11.582.31
+1.51.472.65
+21.333.24
+2.51.293.46

Total points

LineOverUnder
61.372.90
6.51.512.50
71.612.22
7.51.871.95
81.961.80
8.52.161.66
92.501.49
9.52.781.43

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Detroit Tigers1.82
Tampa Bay Rays2.01 0.02
26 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Detroit Tigers win-6.5pp
AI
46%
Market
52.5%
Tampa Bay Rays win-3.5pp
AI
44%
Market
47.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Detroit Tigers wins
2Tampa Bay Rays wins
17-15Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays?+

Our AI model favors Detroit Tigers to win, with a 46% probability (Tampa Bay Rays 54%).

What time does Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays start?+

First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 5:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay Rays?+

Detroit Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Tampa Bay Rays: 0, 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 0-3.