Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar

Cup· Group Stage - 2
Dynamo
01Full-time
FC Krasnodar
WWLWGoals 14-10
LWWWGoals 14-6
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 27'Joao Batxi
  2. 38'Ulvi Babaev
  3. 44'K. Mukailov (Daniil Utkin)
  4. 46'M. Majstorovic (M. Osipenko)
  5. 54'L. Chavez (Bitello)
  6. 54'Ulvi Babaev (Arthur Gomes)
  7. 54'Joao Batxi (D. Vorobyev)
  8. 54'K. Mukailov (N. Krivtsov)
  9. 66'I. Sergeev (K. Tyukavin)
  10. 66'J. Boselli (Douglas Augusto)
  11. 66'Daniil Utkin (Christian)
  12. 68'D. Skopintsev
  13. 75'N. Krivtsov (I. Vakhania)
  14. 78'D. Glebov (T. Marinkin)
  15. 89'R. Fernández
  16. 89'D. Vorobyev

Lineups

DynamoFC Krasnodar
1.4
Goals/game
1.4
1.0
Conceded/game
0.6

AI match analysis

Dynamo win
39.92%
Draw
25.72%
FC Krasnodar win
34.36%
44.2%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
30.1%Dynamo clean sheet
36.8%FC Krasnodar clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a closely contested match, with Dynamo's recent home form showing some promise but also vulnerability, as indicated by their average of 1.1 goals conceded per game. FC Krasnodar's strong defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game in their last 10, could limit Dynamo's scoring opportunities. Historically, the teams have had tight encounters, with many matches ending in draws, highlighting the potential for another low-scoring result.

  • Dynamo has won 2 of the last 5 meetings against FC Krasnodar
  • FC Krasnodar averages only 0.8 goals conceded per game in their last 10 matches
  • Dynamo's home scoring average is 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
58/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Dynamo

  • Sharper attackFC Krasnodar

    FC Krasnodar are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game
  • Tighter defenseFC Krasnodar

    FC Krasnodar are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.6/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Dynamo at 39.92% — final result was FC Krasnodar win, Dynamo 0-1 FC Krasnodar.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (58/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Dynamo2.46market 40.6% · model 39.92%
FC Krasnodar2.66market 37.6% · model 34.36%
Draw3.48market 28.7% · model 25.72%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Dynamo have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FC Krasnodar have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Dynamo wins
3Draws
4FC Krasnodar wins
2-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Dynamo2.46best 2.52
Draw3.48best 3.72
FC Krasnodar2.66best 2.72

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.76best 1.83
Under 2.52.05best 2.10

Both teams to score

Yes1.61best 1.66
No2.18best 2.24

Double chance

Dynamo/Draw1.45best 1.50
Dynamo/FC Krasnodar1.29best 1.31
Draw/FC Krasnodar1.51best 1.57

Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Dynamo2.46 0.62
Draw3.48 0.26
FC Krasnodar2.66 0.42
16 Aug19 Aug

Model vs market

Dynamo win+1.9pp
AI
39.92%
Market
38%
Draw-1.2pp
AI
25.72%
Market
26.9%
FC Krasnodar win-0.7pp
AI
34.36%
Market
35.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.4Goals scored per game1.4
1Goals conceded per game0.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Dynamo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
66.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

FC Krasnodar

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
25%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
25%

More Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar?+

Our AI model favors Dynamo to win, with a 39.92% probability (Draw 25.72%, FC Krasnodar 34.36%).

What time does Dynamo vs FC Krasnodar kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 5:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).