Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers

UEFA Europa League· 3rd Qualifying Round
WLDWGoals 12-14
WLLDGoals 11-13
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 4'D. Adjessa (I. Gruda)
  2. 11'A. Albanese (Fernando)
  3. 20'I. Gruda
  4. 25'E. Ndreca
  5. 38'D. Adjessa (Fernando)
  6. 45+3'E. Ndreca
  7. 46'A. Greene (J. Afolabi)
  8. 46'T. Sobowale (L. Grace)
  9. 46'I. Gruda (Z. Əliyev)
  10. 54'E. Stevens
  11. 54'A. Albanese
  12. 58'A. Albanese (Fernando)
  13. 64'J. Mulraney (M. Asamoah)
  14. 65'D. Adjessa (J. Montenegro)
  15. 66'Karim Loukili (A. Kryeziu)
  16. 70'E. Stevens (D. Mandroiu)
  17. 72'Z. Əliyev
  18. 74'G. Burke
  19. 80'G. Jaime (G. Smajli)
  20. 86'Fernando (N. Ajetovikj)
  21. 88'E. Sota
  22. 90+3'Matthew Healy
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Egnatia RrogozhinëShamrock Rovers
1.2
Goals/game
1.1
1.4
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win
44%
Draw
26%
Shamrock Rovers win
30%
50.9%BTTS
45.6%Over 2.5
28.7%Egnatia Rrogozhinë clean sheet
28.7%Shamrock Rovers clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a closely contested match between Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Shamrock Rovers, with both teams finding scoring difficult of late. Egnatia's recent form indicates defensive weaknesses, particularly at home, while Shamrock Rovers have struggled to convert chances, contributing to a predicted tight scoreline.

  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.75 goals conceded in their last 8 matches.
  • Shamrock Rovers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
  • Historically, Egnatia has shown defensive vulnerabilities at home, conceding heavily in recent tournaments.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
58/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Egnatia Rrogozhinë

  • Poor recent formShamrock Rovers

    Shamrock Rovers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Tighter defenseShamrock Rovers

    Shamrock Rovers are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded
  • Sharper attackEgnatia Rrogozhinë

    Egnatia Rrogozhinë are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Egnatia Rrogozhinë at 44% — final result was Egnatia Rrogozhinë win, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 5-1 Shamrock Rovers.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (58/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Egnatia Rrogozhinë2.11market 47.3% · model 44%
Shamrock Rovers3.16market 31.7% · model 30%
Draw3.47market 28.8% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Egnatia Rrogozhinë have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Shamrock Rovers have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Egnatia Rrogozhinë2.11best 2.19
Draw3.47best 3.70
Shamrock Rovers3.16best 3.35

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.75best 1.80
Under 2.52.04best 2.11

Both teams to score

Yes1.62best 1.65
No2.16best 2.20

Double chance

Egnatia Rrogozhinë/Draw1.33best 1.36
Egnatia Rrogozhinë/Shamrock Rovers1.27best 1.31
Draw/Shamrock Rovers1.69best 1.78

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Egnatia Rrogozhinë2.11 0.06
Draw3.47 0.01
Shamrock Rovers3.16 0.06
10 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Egnatia Rrogozhinë win+0.1pp
AI
44%
Market
43.9%
Draw-0.7pp
AI
26%
Market
26.7%
Shamrock Rovers win+0.6pp
AI
30%
Market
29.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.2Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

G. Kabakov

7.11Yellow cards / game
0.56Red cards / game
0.11Penalties scored / game

Based on 9 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

0-15'
12.5%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Shamrock Rovers

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
75%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More UEFA Europa League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers?+

Our AI model favors Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 30%).

What time does Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Shamrock Rovers kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).