FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau
Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca · Capacity 18,000 · artificial turf
Match events
- 21'Brandon Palacios (M. Arrasco)
- 37'P. Álvarez
- 3.0
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 2.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The numbers suggest that FC Cajamarca has a stronger attacking output recently, averaging 3 goals scored in their last two matches, while Atletico Grau struggles with just 0.8 goals on average over their last 10 games. Additionally, given FC Cajamarca's ranking and recent form, they are slightly favored to secure a win in this matchup.
- FC Cajamarca has scored an average of 3 goals in their last 2 matches.
- Atletico Grau averages only 0.8 goals scored in their last 10 matches.
- FC Cajamarca is currently ranked 16th with a negative goal difference of -7.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Cajamarca
- Sharper attackFC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca are averaging 3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
3/game - Tighter defenseAtletico Grau
Atletico Grau are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded - Higher league positionAtletico Grau
Atletico Grau sit 7 places above FC Cajamarca in the table.
#6 vs #13
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
FC Cajamarca has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Cajamarca at 45.48% — final result was Atletico Grau win, FC Cajamarca 1-3 Atletico Grau.
Predicted score was 2-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- FC Cajamarca have averaged 3 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
- Atletico Grau have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | LLDD |
| 6 |  Atletico Grau | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | WDLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
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Comerciantes UnidosFC CajamarcaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau?+
Our AI model favors FC Cajamarca to win, with a 45.48% probability (Draw 29.45%, Atletico Grau 25.07%).
Where is FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau played?+
The match is played at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca (capacity 18,000).
What time does FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).