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Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo

Serie B· Regular Season - 23
Fortaleza EC
1–1Full-time
São Bernardo
LDDWGoals 17-134th in league
WLLDGoals 2-513th in league
Home8W 2D 1L(19-9)
Away6W 2D 3L(19-12)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 32'Lucas Sasha
  2. 43'Pedrinho (Dudu Miraima)
  3. 59'Pará (Hugo Sanches)
  4. 59'Hyoran (Pedro Vitor)
  5. 64'Vitinho (Rodrigo)
  6. 64'Pedro Henrique (Lucas Crispim)
  7. 64'Mauricio Junior (Luiz Fernando)
  8. 64'Dudu Miraima (Lucas Lima)
  9. 68'Pierre
  10. 75'J. B. Miritello (Welliton)
  11. 81'Pedrinho (Daniel Amorim)
  12. 81'Felipe Garcia (Leo Jaba)
  13. 81'Pierre (Ryan)

Lineups

Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
4-3-34-3-3
1
1. João Ricardo
13
13. Maurício Lima
3
3. Lucas Gazal
6
6. Tomás Cardona
22
22. Maílton
75
75. Rodriguinho
5
← 81'
5. Pierre
88
88. Lucas Sasha
11
← 64'
11. Vitinho
9
← 75'
9. J. B. Miritello
← 64'
16. Pedro Henrique
29
← 81'
29. Pedrinho
9
← 81'
9. Felipe Garcia
42
← 59'
42. Hyoran
26
← 64'
26. Dudu Miraima
8. Foguinho
17
17. Romisson
6
← 59'
6. Pará
35
35. Jemerson
3
3. Helder Maciel
2
2. Rodrigo Ferreira
1
1. Alex Alves
Paulo AutuoriCoachCatala Ricardo
Bench (12)
Bench (12)
Fortaleza ECSão Bernardo
1.7
Goals/game
0.4
1.3
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Fortaleza EC win
55.71%
Draw
27.77%
São Bernardo win
16.52%
42.4%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
42.7%Fortaleza EC clean sheet
25.9%São Bernardo clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests that Fortaleza EC has been formidable at home, with a strong win ratio and competitive form in the league. In contrast, São Bernardo has faced difficulties recently, particularly in finding the net, which could impact their performance away from home.

  • Fortaleza has a strong home record with 8 wins out of 10 games this season.
  • São Bernardo has struggled recently, managing only 1 goal in their last 4 matches.
  • Fortaleza is currently ranked 4th in the standings, competing for promotion, while São Bernardo is 12th.
  • The last 10 matches for Fortaleza show they average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
83/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Fortaleza EC

  • Sharper attackFortaleza EC

    Fortaleza EC are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Higher league positionFortaleza EC

    Fortaleza EC sit 9 places above São Bernardo in the table.

    #4 vs #13
  • Poor recent formSão Bernardo

    São Bernardo have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Strong home recordFortaleza EC

    Fortaleza EC have won 8 of their last 11 home matches.

    8/11 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Fortaleza EC at 55.71% — final result was a draw, Fortaleza EC 1-1 São Bernardo.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (83/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Fortaleza EC1.69market 59% · model 55.71%
Draw ✓3.41market 29.3% · model 27.77%
São Bernardo5.26market 19% · model 16.52%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Fortaleza EC have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • São Bernardo have averaged 0.4 goals scored per game over their last 5 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Fortaleza EC1.69▲best 1.72
Draw3.41▼best 3.65
São Bernardo5.26▼best 6.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.20▲best 2.27
Under 2.51.63▼best 1.68

Both teams to score

Yes2.08▲best 2.20
No1.67▼best 1.73

Double chance

Fortaleza EC/Draw1.14▲best 1.17
Fortaleza EC/São Bernardo1.27▲best 1.30
Draw/São Bernardo2.11▼best 2.22

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.20▲best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.33▼best 4.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.91▼best 1.91
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.80▲best 1.80

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Fortaleza EC1.69▲ 0.05
Draw3.41▼ 0.08
São Bernardo5.26▲ 0.06
16 Aug – 19 Aug

Model vs market

Fortaleza EC win+0.7pp
AI
55.71%
Market
55%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
27.77%
Market
27.3%
São Bernardo win-1.2pp
AI
16.52%
Market
17.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
4
Fortaleza EC
241176+640DDDW
13
São Bernardo
24888+632DLWL

Pre-match comparison

1.7Goals scored per game0.4
1.3Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 5 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

F. Mendes

5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Fortaleza EC

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
40%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
40%

São Bernardo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
100%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo?+

Our AI model favors Fortaleza EC to win, with a 55.71% probability (Draw 27.77%, São Bernardo 16.52%).

What time does Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 10:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).