Gillingham vs Walsall
Match events
- 12'E. Ahui
- 31'Armani Little (Robbie McKenzie)
- 37'L. Gordon (L. Dobbs)
- 43'Andy Smith
- 46'E. Ahui (R. Dixon)
- 47'Kadeem Harris
- 55'Charlie Crew
- 58'Robbie McKenzie
- 60'Lewis Simper (C. Clarke)
- 60'Charlie Crew (I. Moore)
- 67'Andrew Dallas (T. Sodje)
- 72'Kadeem Harris (G. McCleary)
- 72'Will Goodwin (S. Palmer-Houlden)
- 74'M. Hancock (H. Burke)
- 81'I. Moore
- 90+3'Ronan Hale
- 90+6'A. Pressley (C. Clarke)
- 90'J. Connolly
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 2.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The analysis reveals that both Gillingham and Walsall are looking to secure points in their season opener after struggling in pre-season. Gillingham's recent form shows a troubling defensive record, having conceded an average of 2.1 goals in their last 10 matches, while Walsall has managed to score 1.3 goals on average despite also incurring defeats. The head-to-head history suggests parity, with a tendency toward draws, indicating a likely low-scoring affair.
- Gillingham's last 5 matches show 4 losses and only 1 win.
- Walsall has a mixed form with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
- Historically, the last five encounters have resulted in closely contested games, with multiple draws.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Gillingham
- Tighter defenseWalsall
Walsall are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game conceded - Historical edgeWalsall
Walsall have won 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
2/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionWalsall
Walsall sit 23 places above Gillingham in the table.
#1 vs #24 - Sharper attackWalsall
Walsall are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Gillingham at 38.63% — final result was Walsall win, Gillingham 0-3 Walsall.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Gillingham have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Walsall have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Walsall
GillinghamGillinghamWalsallGillinghamWalsallWalsallGillinghamGillinghamWalsallWalsallGillinghamWalsallGillinghamGillinghamWalsallOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | W |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
More League Two predictions
Walsall
Grimsby
Salford City
Chesterfield
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
Swindon Town
CheltenhamFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Gillingham vs Walsall?+
Our AI model favors Gillingham to win, with a 38.63% probability (Draw 28.91%, Walsall 32.45%).
What time does Gillingham vs Walsall kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).