Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC

UEFA Europa League· 3rd Qualifying Round
WWWLGoals 20-8
LLWWGoals 11-14
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 27'A. Osváth
  2. 44'P. Rommens
  3. 45'K. Urbanski
  4. 59'P. Rommens (Ádám Nagy)
  5. 60'Gabi Kanichowsky (Naby Keïta)
  6. 72'Yusuf Bamidele (Callum O'Dowda)
  7. 79'Paulo Bernardo (L. Sadílek)
  8. 79'Peter González (Taofeek Ismaheel)
  9. 82'M. Sáček
  10. 89'E. Janža (O. Zmrzlý)
  11. 90+3'Cadu (N. Zohore)
  12. 90+3'Lenny Joseph (Kenan Kodro)
  13. 90'M. Khlan (Yvan Ikia Dimi)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Gornik ZabrzeFerencvarosi TC
2.0
Goals/game
1.1
0.8
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Gornik Zabrze win
41.38%
Draw
26.24%
Ferencvarosi TC win
32.39%
50.1%BTTS
49.4%Over 2.5
38.7%Gornik Zabrze clean sheet
18.3%Ferencvarosi TC clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a closely contested match between Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi TC, with Gornik Zabrze demonstrating resilience at home. Historically, both teams have shown a tendency for draws in their recent performances. Given Ferencvarosi's defensive issues, this match could see multiple goals, but the overall form indicates a likelihood for a stalemate.

  • Gornik Zabrze unbeaten in last 3 home matches
  • Ferencvarosi TC has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • Both teams have drawn in their last games, suggesting a competitive matchup
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
54/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Gornik Zabrze

  • Tighter defenseGornik Zabrze

    Gornik Zabrze are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Good recent formGornik Zabrze

    Gornik Zabrze have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Good recent formFerencvarosi TC

    Ferencvarosi TC have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Sharper attackFerencvarosi TC

    Ferencvarosi TC are averaging 1.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.1/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Gornik Zabrze at 41.38% — final result was a draw, Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (54/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gornik Zabrze2.28market 44% · model 41.38%
Ferencvarosi TC2.90market 34.4% · model 32.39%
Draw3.36market 29.7% · model 26.24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gornik Zabrze have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Ferencvarosi TC have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gornik Zabrze2.28best 2.36
Draw3.36best 3.64
Ferencvarosi TC2.90best 3.05

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.87best 1.95
Under 2.51.89best 1.98

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.73
No2.07best 2.10

Double chance

Gornik Zabrze/Draw1.37best 1.42
Gornik Zabrze/Ferencvarosi TC1.28best 1.32
Draw/Ferencvarosi TC1.58best 1.65

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.25best 3.25
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gornik Zabrze2.27 0.08
Draw3.36 0.23
Ferencvarosi TC2.90 0.07
10 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Gornik Zabrze win+0.7pp
AI
41.38%
Market
40.7%
Draw-1.3pp
AI
26.24%
Market
27.5%
Ferencvarosi TC win+0.5pp
AI
32.39%
Market
31.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2Goals scored per game1.1
0.8Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Colombo

4.2Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.27Penalties scored / game

Based on 15 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Gornik Zabrze

0-15'
0%
16-30'
28.6%
31-45'
14.3%
46-60'
28.6%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
0%

Ferencvarosi TC

0-15'
7.1%
16-30'
28.6%
31-45'
21.4%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
14.3%

More UEFA Europa League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC?+

Our AI model favors Gornik Zabrze to win, with a 41.38% probability (Draw 26.24%, Ferencvarosi TC 32.39%).

What time does Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).