Gyori ETO FC vs Riga

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
Gyori ETO FC
11Full-time
Riga
DLDWGoals 18-8
WWDDGoals 20-10
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'Ž. Gavrić
  2. 47'R. Aouani
  3. 64'M. Diop (S. Oulad M'Hand)
  4. 64'Ž. Gavrić (Szabolcs Schön)
  5. 66'C. Bumba
  6. 71'Reginaldo Ramires (Muhammed Badammosi)
  7. 75'Szabolcs Schön (M. Huszar)
  8. 84'Á. Décsy (Ádám Umathum)
  9. 84'R. Aouani (Caio Ferreira)
  10. 88'Caio Ferreira (A. Salazar)
  11. 89'Caio Ferreira
  12. 90+3'M. Szep
  13. 90+6'A. Ankrah

Lineups

Gyori ETO FCRiga
1.8
Goals/game
2.0
0.8
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Gyori ETO FC win
40.53%
Draw
27.1%
Riga win
32.37%
56.8%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
24.7%Gyori ETO FC clean sheet
24.7%Riga clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a competitive match between Gyori ETO FC and Riga, with Gyori ETO FC's recent home form showing an unbeaten streak in their last three matches. However, Riga's ability to score has been variable, with a tendency to concede goals, making a draw a plausible outcome given Gyori's solid defensive record averaging only 0.8 goals conceded per game. Both teams have had mixed results recently, leading to a predicted score of 1-1.

  • Gyori ETO FC unbeaten in last 3 home games
  • Riga has lost 3 out of last 5 matches
  • Gyori ETO FC averages 1.6 goals scored in last 10 matches
  • Riga concedes an average of 1.7 goals per game in last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
53/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Gyori ETO FC

  • Tighter defenseGyori ETO FC

    Gyori ETO FC are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Sharper attackGyori ETO FC

    Gyori ETO FC are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Gyori ETO FC at 40.53% — final result was a draw, Gyori ETO FC 1-1 Riga.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (53/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Gyori ETO FC2.32market 43.1% · model 40.53%
Riga2.78market 36% · model 32.37%
Draw3.41market 29.3% · model 27.1%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Gyori ETO FC have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Riga have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Gyori ETO FC2.32best 2.46
Draw3.41best 3.70
Riga2.78best 2.87

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.74best 1.80
Under 2.52.02best 2.11

Both teams to score

Yes1.60best 1.67
No2.20best 2.27

Double chance

Gyori ETO FC/Draw1.39best 1.45
Gyori ETO FC/Riga1.27best 1.31
Draw/Riga1.56best 1.62

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Gyori ETO FC2.32 0.07
Draw3.41 0.29
Riga2.78 0.16
12 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Gyori ETO FC win+0.7pp
AI
40.53%
Market
39.8%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
27.1%
Market
27%
Riga win-0.8pp
AI
32.37%
Market
33.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.8Goals scored per game2
0.8Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

O. Reitala

4.61Yellow cards / game
0.06Red cards / game
0.17Penalties scored / game

Based on 18 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Gyori ETO FC

0-15'
5.3%
16-30'
10.5%
31-45'
10.5%
46-60'
10.5%
61-75'
15.8%
76-90+'
47.4%

Riga

0-15'
0%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
28.6%
61-75'
28.6%
76-90+'
28.6%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Gyori ETO FC vs Riga?+

Our AI model favors Gyori ETO FC to win, with a 40.53% probability (Draw 27.1%, Riga 32.37%).

What time does Gyori ETO FC vs Riga kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).