Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
WWWWGoals 23-5
WLLDGoals 17-15
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 45+1'A. Boudri
  2. 45+2'E. Svarnas (O. Repka)
  3. 53'D. G. Debohi
  4. 55'A. Boudri
  5. 57'K. Trelowski
  6. 58'Frederik Franck Winther
  7. 60'Nahir Besara (V. Lind)
  8. 60'T. Tekie (F. Adjei)
  9. 65'O. Kwiatkowski (T. Pienko)
  10. 67'Mahir Emreli
  11. 73'Mahir Emreli (L. Diaby-Fadiga)
  12. 73'M. Ameyaw (J. C. Silva)
  13. 78'V. Eriksson (I. Fofana)
  14. 78'N. Persson (O. Steinke)
  15. 78'D. G. Debohi (K. Struski)
  16. 89'P. Abraham (S. Kebbeh)
  17. 90+4'Warner Hahn
  18. 90+6'L. Diaby-Fadiga
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Hammarby FFRaków Częstochowa
2.3
Goals/game
1.7
0.5
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Hammarby FF win
56%
Draw
25%
Raków Częstochowa win
19%
56.7%BTTS
57.7%Over 2.5
33.3%Hammarby FF clean sheet
15%Raków Częstochowa clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests Hammarby FF is in strong form, especially at home, having won their last five matches there without a loss. They score an average of 2.5 goals per game, indicating a potent attack. Meanwhile, Raków Częstochowa has shown inconsistency recently, particularly with a higher number of conceded goals in challenging matchups.

  • Hammarby FF unbeaten in last 5 home games
  • Hammarby FF averaging 2.5 goals per game over last 10 matches
  • Raków Częstochowa has conceded 0.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
73/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Hammarby FF

  • Strong recent formHammarby FF

    Hammarby FF are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 5 wins.

    5W 0D 0L
  • Sharper attackHammarby FF

    Hammarby FF are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.3/game
  • Tighter defenseHammarby FF

    Hammarby FF are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Hammarby FF at 56% — final result was Raków Częstochowa win, Hammarby FF 0-1 Raków Częstochowa.

Predicted score was 2-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Hammarby FF1.60market 62.6% · model 56%
Draw3.82market 26.2% · model 25%
Raków Częstochowa5.20market 19.2% · model 19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Hammarby FF have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Raków Częstochowa have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Hammarby FF1.60best 1.80
Draw3.82best 4.10
Raków Częstochowa5.20best 5.84

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.74best 1.80
Under 2.52.03best 2.12

Both teams to score

Yes1.74best 1.80
No1.96best 2.10

Double chance

Hammarby FF/Draw1.13best 1.20
Hammarby FF/Raków Częstochowa1.22best 1.26
Draw/Raków Częstochowa2.23best 2.40

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.50best 2.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.50best 1.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.00best 5.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Hammarby FF1.60 0.13
Draw3.82 0.25
Raków Częstochowa5.20 0.82
10 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Hammarby FF win-2pp
AI
56%
Market
58%
Draw+0.8pp
AI
25%
Market
24.2%
Raków Częstochowa win+1.2pp
AI
19%
Market
17.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.3Goals scored per game1.7
0.5Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

L. Pairetto

4.57Yellow cards / game
0.22Red cards / game
0.61Penalties scored / game

Based on 23 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Hammarby FF

0-15'
44.4%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
11.1%
46-60'
22.2%
61-75'
22.2%
76-90+'
0%

Raków Częstochowa

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa?+

Our AI model favors Hammarby FF to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 25%, Raków Częstochowa 19%).

What time does Hammarby FF vs Raków Częstochowa kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).