Hiroshima Carp vs Yakult Swallows
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AI match analysis
Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed
Predicted score: 4-5
Data suggests that the Yakult Swallows historically dominate the Hiroshima Carp in their recent encounters, winning all of their last five games against them. Both teams exhibit inconsistent form, but the Carp’s home advantage and better home win percentage offers a competitive edge. However, considering the overall season performance and head-to-head history, the numbers favor the Swallows in this matchup.
- Yakult Swallows have won the last 5 matchups against Hiroshima Carp
- Hiroshima Carp's last 10 games show a slight edge in scoring compared to Yakult Swallows
- Home win rate for Hiroshima Carp stands at 55%, indicating some strength at home
- Yakult Swallows have a poorer away record at 40%, but overall, they have a better season win percentage.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.
Why AI favors Yakult Swallows
- Historical edgeYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins - Good recent formHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formYakult Swallows
Yakult Swallows have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Sharper attackHiroshima Carp
Hiroshima Carp are averaging 3.3 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
3.3/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
Match trends
- Hiroshima Carp have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Yakult Swallows have averaged 2.7 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Hiroshima Carp are unbeaten in 0 of the last 5 meetings with Yakult Swallows.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 114 | 64 | 50 | +63 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 116 | 63 | 53 | +33 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 115 | 51 | 64 | +3 | 44 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 114 | 50 | 64 | -81 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 118 | 51 | 67 | -4 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 111 | 46 | 65 | -72 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 115 | 71 | 44 | +179 | 62 | — |
| 2 |  Seibu Lions | 118 | 66 | 52 | +33 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 118 | 64 | 54 | +62 | 54 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 117 | 56 | 61 | -69 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 112 | 52 | 60 | -69 | 46 | — |
| 6 |  Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 114 | 45 | 69 | -78 | 40 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHanshin TigersYomiuri GiantsOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Hiroshima Carp vs Yakult Swallows?+
Our AI model favors Yakult Swallows to win, with a 55% probability (Hiroshima Carp 45%).
What time does Hiroshima Carp vs Yakult Swallows start?+
First pitch is at Aug 29, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).