Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Seibu Lions | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 3 | 0 |
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
The data suggests a strong advantage for the Seibu Lions, who have secured victory in 8 of their last 10 matchups against the Rakuten Gold. Eagles. With a solid home win rate and favorable recent form, they are positioned to outperform their rivals, who are struggling with a significant negative run differential.
- Seibu Lions have won 8 of their last 10 games against Rakuten Gold. Eagles
- Seibu Lions have a home win rate of 55% this season
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have a negative run differential, allowing 467 runs against 385 runs scored
Confidence is high because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seibu Lions
- Historical edgeSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins - Good recent formSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Tighter defenseSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are conceding just 2.5 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seibu Lions at 55% — final result was Seibu Lions win, Seibu Lions 1-0 Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Predicted score was 4-3.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Seibu Lions have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 3.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions are unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 meetings with Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Seibu Lions | Rakuten Gold. Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.26 | 1.30 |
| -2 | 2.99 | 1.33 |
| -1.5 | 2.43 | 1.52 |
| -1 | 1.97 | 1.71 |
| -0.5 | 1.64 | 2.14 |
| +0.5 | 1.56 | 2.29 |
| +1 | 1.39 | 2.63 |
| +1.5 | 1.34 | 2.99 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.32 | 2.98 |
| 5.5 | 1.53 | 2.35 |
| 6 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
| 6.5 | 1.79 | 1.96 |
| 7 | 2.02 | 1.72 |
| 7.5 | 2.26 | 1.58 |
| 8 | 2.56 | 1.45 |
| 8.5 | 2.75 | 1.43 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 116 | 66 | 50 | +69 | 57 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 118 | 63 | 55 | +27 | 53 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 117 | 53 | 64 | +6 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 116 | 52 | 64 | -71 | 45 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 120 | 51 | 69 | -7 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 113 | 46 | 67 | -82 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 117 | 72 | 45 | +180 | 62 | — |
| 2 | Seibu Lions | 120 | 68 | 52 | +38 | 57 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 120 | 66 | 54 | +66 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 119 | 57 | 62 | -70 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 114 | 52 | 62 | -73 | 46 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 116 | 45 | 71 | -83 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Yakult SwallowsHanshin TigersRakuten Gold. EaglesOrix BuffaloesYomiuri GiantsYokohama BayStarsChiba Lotte MarinesSeibu LionsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles?+
Our AI model favors Seibu Lions to win, with a 55% probability (Rakuten Gold. Eagles 45%).
What time does Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles start?+
First pitch is at Aug 29, 2026, 8:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Seibu Lions vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles?+
Seibu Lions: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 1-0.