HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Match events
- 54'Dario Melnjak (A. Sutalo)
- 60'Marin Šotiček (A. Guram)
- 63'Y. Kendysh (I. Lytvynenko)
- 63'P. Golubickas (N. Mihajlović)
- 68'M. Livaja (M. Sego)
- 68'D. de Almeida (E. Brruti)
- 68'Adrion Pajaziti (Niko Sigur)
- 69'A. Guram
- 72'D. Franke (K. Upstas)
- 72'N. Petković (M. Vareika)
- 75'A. Sutalo (A. Sanyang)
- 78'S. Bilenkyi (L. Antal)
- 81'A. Sanyang
- 83'M. Sego
Lineups
- 2.0
- Goals/game
- 1.9
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-1
The data suggests that HNK Hajduk Split is in strong form at home, with an unbeaten record in their last three home matches and a notable scoring average of 1.8 goals per game. Conversely, FK Zalgiris Vilnius has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.2 goals in their last 10 matches, contributing to a challenging away performance. With these factors combined, the numbers favor a home victory, likely with a score of 3-1.
- HNK Hajduk Split unbeaten in last 3 home games
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius has conceded an average of 2.2 goals in last 10 matches
- HNK Hajduk Split has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match in last 10 games
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors HNK Hajduk Split
- Sharper attackHNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game - Tighter defenseHNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded - Strong recent formHNK Hajduk Split
HNK Hajduk Split are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Good recent formFK Zalgiris Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked HNK Hajduk Split at 72.17% — final result was HNK Hajduk Split win, HNK Hajduk Split 4-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius.
Predicted score was 3-1.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- HNK Hajduk Split have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Jollenbeck
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
HNK Hajduk Split
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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FC LuganoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?+
Our AI model favors HNK Hajduk Split to win, with a 72.17% probability (Draw 17.36%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 10.47%).
What time does HNK Hajduk Split vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).