Ilves vs HNK Rijeka
Match events
- 59'S. Suvanne (S. Baranov)
- 64'S. Baranov (T. Hytönen)
- 67'Yiandro Raap (Y. Sacko)
- 70'Justas Lasickas (A. Majstorović)
- 71'Justas Lasickas (A. Gojak)
- 81'A. Popovitch (H. Coulibaly)
- 81'V. Kumpu (G. Bamba)
- 81'T. Hytönen (Roope Riski)
- 84'J. Puljic (I. Cubelic)
- 87'M. Devetak
- 90'D. Adu-Adjei (Ante Matej Jurić)
Lineups
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that HNK Rijeka may have the upper hand due to their strong defensive record, allowing only 0.9 goals per game in their last 10 matches. Conversely, while Ilves has shown some scoring prowess, their inconsistency is highlighted by their last five matches, where they experienced a mix of results. The numbers favor Rijeka as they are unbeaten in their recent matches, which could give them momentum going into this fixture.
- HNK Rijeka unbeaten in last 5 matches
- Ilves has a scoring average of 1.9 goals in last 10 matches
- HNK Rijeka has conceded only 0.9 goals per game in last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors HNK Rijeka
- Sharper attackIlves
Ilves are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Tighter defenseHNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded - Poor recent formIlves
Ilves have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked HNK Rijeka at 51% — final result was a draw, Ilves 1-1 HNK Rijeka.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Ilves have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- HNK Rijeka have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Ilves
HNK Rijeka
Match statistics
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FC LuganoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Ilves vs HNK Rijeka?+
Our AI model favors HNK Rijeka to win, with a 51% probability (Draw 27%, Ilves 22%).
What time does Ilves vs HNK Rijeka kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).