Indiana Fever W vs New York Liberty W
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Value found
+52.8% edgeNew York Liberty W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 160 total points vs the market's 191 line — leans under by 31 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 35 | 23 | 19 | 106 | |
| 23 | 23 | 21 | 25 | 92 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 80-80
Data suggests that New York Liberty W has a historical edge over Indiana Fever W, having won three of their last five encounters. Indiana Fever W, while capable of scoring, also concedes an average of nearly 80 points, which may hinder their chances. The recent form of New York Liberty W, with four wins in their last five games, further indicates they are the stronger side heading into this matchup.
- New York Liberty W has won 3 of their last 5 matchups against Indiana Fever W.
- Indiana Fever W averages 82.6 points scored but concedes 79.9 in their last 10 matches.
- New York Liberty W's recent form includes 4 wins in their last 5 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors New York Liberty W
- Good recent formIndiana Fever W
Indiana Fever W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Good recent formNew York Liberty W
New York Liberty W have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeNew York Liberty W
New York Liberty W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked New York Liberty W at 68% — final result was Indiana Fever W win, Indiana Fever W 106-92 New York Liberty W.
Predicted score was 80-80.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Indiana Fever W have averaged 99.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Liberty W have averaged 81.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Indiana Fever W are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with New York Liberty W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Indiana Fever W | New York Liberty W |
|---|---|---|
| -5 | 2.10▼ | 1.69▲ |
| -4.5 | 2.04▼ | 1.73▲ |
| -4 | 1.99▼ | 1.79▲ |
| -3.5 | 1.92▼ | 1.85▲ |
| -3 | 1.88▼ | 1.92▲ |
| -2.5 | 1.80▼ | 1.96▲ |
| -2 | 1.74▼ | 2.03▲ |
| -1.5 | 1.71▼ | 2.05▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 189.5 | 1.78▲ | 1.98▼ |
| 190 | 1.80▲ | 1.95▼ |
| 190.5 | 1.86▲ | 1.91▼ |
| 191 | 1.87▲ | 1.89▼ |
| 191.5 | 1.92▲ | 1.84▼ |
| 192 | 1.94▲ | 1.80▼ |
| 192.5 | 1.99▲ | 1.77▼ |
| 193 | 1.98▲ | 1.78▼ |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Box score
Indiana Fever W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 31:12 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 7/12 | 4/4 | 2/3 |
| C. Clark | 34:50 | 22 | 4 | 10 | 3/7 | 4/8 | 4/4 |
| A. Boston | 25:43 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4/10 | 3/5 | 2/2 |
| L. Hull | 17:56 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 0/0 |
| M. Timpson | 27:57 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 1/2 |
Bench (6)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billings Monique | 17:27 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4/8 | 0/0 | 6/6 |
| S. Cunningham | 22:04 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 0/0 |
| M. Hines-Allen | 07:57 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1/2 | 0/2 | 0/0 |
| T. Harris | 11:25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1/2 |
| R. Johnson | 02:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
| M. Russell | 00:56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
New York Liberty W
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ionescu | 27:39 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 6/6 | 1/5 | 4/4 |
| B. Stewart | 29:31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7/16 | 1/5 | 2/2 |
| J. Jones | 29:38 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 1/1 |
| R. Allen | 24:18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 | 3/5 | 0/0 |
| Astier Pauline | 17:47 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 3/4 |
Bench (5)
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johannes Marine | 17:36 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1/1 | 2/9 | 0/0 |
| Han Xu | 17:05 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3/4 | 0/3 | 1/2 |
| Gardner Rebekah | 16:18 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
| Fauthoux Marine | 16:22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1/3 | 1/3 | 0/0 |
| Carrera Raquel | 03:46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Indiana Fever W vs New York Liberty W?+
Our AI model favors New York Liberty W to win, with a 68% probability (Indiana Fever W 32%).
What time does Indiana Fever W vs New York Liberty W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 11, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Indiana Fever W vs New York Liberty W?+
Indiana Fever W: 29-35-23-19. New York Liberty W: 23-23-21-25. Final: 106-92.

