Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht
Match events
- 2'J. Oksanen
- 3'G. Biancone (L. Ambros)
- 21'M. Cvetkovic
- 24'L. Ambros
- 38'A. Shirobokov
- 45+1'D. Sikan (L. Ambros)
- 46'A. Mrynskiy (O. Baybek)
- 46'M. Cvetkovic (T. Degreef)
- 49'A. Maamar
- 52'G. Biancone
- 61'Marc Gual (A. Tuyakbaev)
- 61'Edmilson (I. Bekbolat)
- 63'J. Nga Kana (O. Antman)
- 65'J. Oksanen
- 72'J. Oksanen (A. Sadybekov)
- 72'Luís Mata (L. Kurgin)
- 74'E. Llansana
- 75'A. Maamar (M. Winkler)
- 84'D. Sikan (A. Bertaccini)
- 84'E. Llansana (N. Ojea)
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests that Anderlecht enters this match with a significantly stronger attacking threat, averaging 3.05 xG compared to Kairat Almaty's 1.26. Kairat's recent home form has been poor, with 4 losses in their last 5 matches, which could impact their confidence. Historically, these factors favor an away win for Anderlecht.
- Anderlecht has a higher xG average of 3.05 compared to Kairat Almaty's 1.26
- Kairat Almaty has lost 4 of their last 5 home matches
- Anderlecht won 3 of their last 5 matches, showing better recent form
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Anderlecht
- Poor recent formKairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formAnderlecht
Anderlecht have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Tighter defenseKairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game conceded - Sharper attackAnderlecht
Anderlecht are averaging 1.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Anderlecht at 45.07% — final result was Anderlecht win, Kairat Almaty 0-3 Anderlecht.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (61/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kairat Almaty have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Anderlecht have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Kairat Almaty
Anderlecht
More UEFA Europa League predictions
FC Iberia 1999
Jagiellonia
Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Craiova
Plzen
FK Crvena Zvezda
Kauno Žalgiris
BeşiktaşFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht?+
Our AI model favors Anderlecht to win, with a 45.07% probability (Draw 28.3%, Kairat Almaty 26.64%).
What time does Kairat Almaty vs Anderlecht kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).