Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 10 | 0 |
 Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
Data suggests that the Kansas City Royals are in strong form, having won their last five matches, albeit all against the Athletics. However, the Detroit Tigers have historically had the upper hand in recent matchups, as they lead the head-to-head record. While the Royals average 4.9 runs scored per game, the Tigers' ability to score 4 runs per game but concede 4.6 could suggest a high-scoring affair. The numbers favor a potentially close game, leaning slightly towards an away victory.
- Kansas City Royals have won their last 5 matches
- Detroit Tigers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Historically, Detroit Tigers have a good recent head-to-head record against Kansas City Royals
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Detroit Tigers
- Good recent formKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Historical edgeKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 47% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Detroit Tigers at 47.13% — final result was Kansas City Royals win, Kansas City Royals 5-2 Detroit Tigers.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kansas City Royals have averaged 5.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Detroit Tigers have averaged 2.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Kansas City Royals are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Detroit Tigers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.95 | 1.23 |
| -1.5 | 2.95 | 1.36 |
| -1 | 2.54 | 1.49 |
| +1 | 1.78 | 2.02 |
| +1.5 | 1.61 | 2.32 |
| +2 | 1.47 | 2.66 |
| +2.5 | 1.38 | 2.98 |
| +3 | 1.27 | 3.50 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.45 | 2.66 |
| 7.5 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 8 | 1.76 | 2.05 |
| 8.5 | 1.92 | 1.90 |
| 9 | 2.14 | 1.68 |
| 9.5 | 2.36 | 1.57 |
| 10 | 2.65 | 1.45 |
| 10.5 | 2.74 | 1.42 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Pittsburgh PiratesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Detroit Tigers to win, with a 47.13% probability (Kansas City Royals 52.87%).
What time does Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 12:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers?+
Kansas City Royals: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1. Detroit Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0, 0. Final: 5-2.