Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kansas City Royals | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | — | 11 | 12 | 1 |
 Detroit Tigers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
Data suggests that the Kansas City Royals are currently in strong form at home, securing victories in their last five games played there. In contrast, the Detroit Tigers struggle with recent performances, having lost four of their last five matches. Given the scoring averages, Royals are finding the net more frequently while the Tigers are conceding significantly. Head-to-head results also favor the Royals, indicating a competitive match ahead.
- Kansas City Royals on a 5-game winning streak at home
- Detroit Tigers lost 4 out of last 5 matches
- Last 10 match averages favor Royals with 4.8 scored and 3.1 conceded
- Recent head-to-head history shows Royals winning 3 out of the last 5 encounters
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Detroit Tigers
- Good recent formKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Historical edgeKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 47% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Detroit Tigers at 47% — final result was Kansas City Royals win, Kansas City Royals 11-7 Detroit Tigers.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (57/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kansas City Royals have averaged 5.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Detroit Tigers have averaged 2.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Kansas City Royals are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Detroit Tigers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 3.30 | 1.29 |
| -1.5 | 2.86▲ | 1.40▼ |
| -1 | 2.40▼ | 1.56▲ |
| +1 | 1.71▼ | 2.14▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.59▲ | 2.40▼ |
| +2 | 1.41 | 2.86 |
| +2.5 | 1.34▼ | 3.14▲ |
| +3 | 1.26 | 3.63 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.41▲ | 2.78▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.59▼ | 2.31▲ |
| 8 | 1.70 | 2.13 |
| 8.5 | 1.86▼ | 1.96▲ |
| 9 | 2.05▲ | 1.75▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.27▼ | 1.62▲ |
| 10 | 2.52 | 1.50 |
| 10.5 | 2.68▼ | 1.44▲ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Chicago White Sox
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Pittsburgh PiratesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Detroit Tigers to win, with a 47% probability (Kansas City Royals 53%).
What time does Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 6:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers?+
Kansas City Royals: 0, 5, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0, 2. Detroit Tigers: 1, 0, 0, 0, 4, 1, 1, 0, 0. Final: 11-7.