Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers
Value found
+22.4% edgeKansas City Royals win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kansas City Royals | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 5 | 0 |
 Detroit Tigers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 5-3
The numbers favor the Kansas City Royals in this matchup against the Detroit Tigers. Kansas City's strong home win rate of 60% and their recent form, where they've outscored opponents in their last 10 games, suggests they have the upper hand. Meanwhile, Detroit struggles on the road with a 35% win rate this season, contributing to the Royals' predicted win.
- Kansas City Royals have a 60% home win rate this season.
- In their last 10 games, the Royals averaged 4.9 runs scored and 3.5 runs allowed per game.
- Detroit Tigers have a 35% win rate on the road this season, significantly lower than the Royals' home performance.
- Historically, the Royals have won 5 of the last 7 matchups against the Tigers.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is decisive, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Kansas City Royals
- Good recent formKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Strong home recordKansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals have won 13 of their last 20 home matches.
13/20 home wins - Weak away recordDetroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers have won 7 of their last 20 away matches.
7/20 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Kansas City Royals at 64% — final result was Kansas City Royals win, Kansas City Royals 3-1 Detroit Tigers.
Predicted score was 5-3.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Kansas City Royals have averaged 5.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Detroit Tigers have averaged 2.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Kansas City Royals are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Detroit Tigers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Kansas City Royals | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.70▲ | 1.26▲ |
| -2 | 3.58 | 1.29 |
| -1.5 | 2.77▲ | 1.42▼ |
| -1 | 2.34▲ | 1.58▲ |
| +1 | 1.68▲ | 2.16▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.55▲ | 2.46▼ |
| +2 | 1.41▲ | 2.88▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.34 | 3.18▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.44▲ | 2.71▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.63▲ | 2.23▼ |
| 8 | 1.74▲ | 2.07▼ |
| 8.5 | 1.90▲ | 1.93▼ |
| 9 | 2.07▲ | 1.74▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.33▲ | 1.58▼ |
| 10 | 2.58▼ | 1.48▲ |
| 10.5 | 2.72▲ | 1.43▼ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Pittsburgh PiratesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers?+
Our AI model favors Kansas City Royals to win, with a 64% probability (Detroit Tigers 36%).
What time does Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 11:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers?+
Kansas City Royals: 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0. Detroit Tigers: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 3-1.