New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | X | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New York Mets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
 Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-5
The analysis suggests that the Milwaukee Brewers have a stronger offensive performance, averaging nearly 6 runs over their last 10 games compared to the Mets' 3.9. Additionally, the Brewers have a solid recent head-to-head advantage, winning 4 of the last 5 matchups against the Mets. Given these trends, the numbers favor an away victory for the Brewers in this matchup.
- Milwaukee Brewers average 5.8 runs scored in their last 10 games
- New York Mets have conceded 3.5 runs per game over their last 10 matches
- Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 out of their last 5 meetings with the Mets
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Milwaukee Brewers
- Poor recent formNew York Mets
New York Mets have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formMilwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeMilwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Milwaukee Brewers at 53.63% — final result was New York Mets win, New York Mets 3-2 Milwaukee Brewers.
Predicted score was 4-5.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- New York Mets have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Milwaukee Brewers have averaged 6.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- New York Mets are unbeaten in 0 of the last 5 meetings with Milwaukee Brewers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | New York Mets | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.68▲ | 1.26 |
| -1 | 3.18▼ | 1.34▲ |
| +1 | 2.03 | 1.78▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.78▼ | 2.06▼ |
| +2 | 1.58 | 2.35 |
| +2.5 | 1.45 | 2.67▲ |
| +3 | 1.33▼ | 3.15▲ |
| +3.5 | 1.26▼ | 3.67▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.43▼ | 2.70▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.57▼ | 2.36▲ |
| 7 | 1.73▼ | 2.07▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.95 | 1.87 |
| 8 | 2.15▼ | 1.67▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.31▲ | 1.58▼ |
| 9 | 2.74▼ | 1.42▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.85▼ | 1.39▲ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
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Houston AstrosFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers?+
Our AI model favors Milwaukee Brewers to win, with a 53.63% probability (New York Mets 46.37%).
What time does New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 11:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers?+
New York Mets: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0. Milwaukee Brewers: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. Final: 3-2.