New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers

MLB
LWLLRuns 33-425th in NL East Division · 60-73
LLWWRuns 66-251st in NL Central Division · 82-51
Home10W 10L(81-88)
Away7W 13L(58-79)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
New York Mets
000100000190
Milwaukee Brewers
0403010008130

AI match analysis

New York Mets win
37%
Milwaukee Brewers win
53%

Predicted score: 4-5

The analysis suggests that while the New York Mets have shown better recent form at home, the Milwaukee Brewers have been scoring significantly more in their last matches. Historically, Milwaukee has a strong head-to-head record with multiple wins in recent outings, though the Mets managed to edge them in previous encounters. Consequently, the numbers favor the Brewers for a close contest.

  • Milwaukee Brewers scored an average of 5.5 runs in their last 10 matches
  • New York Mets conceded an average of 3.1 runs per game in their last 10 matches
  • New York Mets have a recent head-to-head advantage with a 3-2 record against the Brewers
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
67/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Milwaukee Brewers

  • Historical edgeMilwaukee Brewers

    Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Milwaukee Brewers at 53% — final result was Milwaukee Brewers win, New York Mets 1-8 Milwaukee Brewers.

Predicted score was 4-5.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Milwaukee Brewers1.64market 60.9% · model 53%
New York Mets2.29market 43.6% · model 37%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • New York Mets have averaged 3.3 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Milwaukee Brewers have averaged 6.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • New York Mets are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Milwaukee Brewers.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

New York Mets2.29best 2.35AI 37%
Milwaukee Brewers1.64best 1.69AI 53%

Point spread

LineNew York MetsMilwaukee Brewers
-1.53.461.29
-13.041.37
+12.001.80
+1.51.772.07
+21.592.33
+2.51.462.63
+31.353.05
+3.51.273.56

Total points

LineOverUnder
6.51.412.78
71.502.51
7.51.692.13
81.831.96
8.51.981.84
92.251.62
9.52.461.53
102.801.41

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

New York Mets2.29 0.03
Milwaukee Brewers1.64 0.02
26 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

New York Mets win-4.7pp
AI
37%
Market
41.7%
Milwaukee Brewers win-5.3pp
AI
53%
Market
58.3%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1New York Mets wins
4Milwaukee Brewers wins
17-27Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers?+

Our AI model favors Milwaukee Brewers to win, with a 53% probability (New York Mets 47%).

What time does New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers start?+

First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 11:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers?+

New York Mets: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Milwaukee Brewers: 0, 4, 0, 3, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0. Final: 1-8.