Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philadelphia Phillies | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | — | 12 | 15 | 1 |
 St.Louis Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 6-5
Recent form suggests the Philadelphia Phillies capitalize on their home advantage, having scored consistently well with an average of 5.3 runs in their last 10 games. Conversely, the St.Louis Cardinals have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 4 runs. Given their last matchup, a narrow win for the Phillies could be anticipated, reinforcing the competitive nature of this rivalry.
- Philadelphia Phillies averaging 5.3 runs scored in the last 10 games
- St.Louis Cardinals giving up an average of 4 runs in their last 10 matches
- Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 games
- St.Louis Cardinals lost their last match against Philadelphia.
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Philadelphia Phillies
- Good recent formPhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgePhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 52% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Philadelphia Phillies at 52% — final result was Philadelphia Phillies win, Philadelphia Phillies 12-3 St.Louis Cardinals.
Predicted score was 6-5.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Philadelphia Phillies have averaged 5.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St.Louis Cardinals have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Philadelphia Phillies are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with St.Louis Cardinals.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Philadelphia Phillies | St.Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 3.49▼ | 1.28▲ |
| -2.5 | 3.11▼ | 1.35▲ |
| -2 | 2.79▼ | 1.43▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.42▼ | 1.57▲ |
| -1 | 1.97▼ | 1.84▲ |
| +1 | 1.48▼ | 2.60▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.40▼ | 2.82▲ |
| +2 | 1.21 | 3.75 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.36▼ | 2.94▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.55▼ | 2.41▲ |
| 8 | 1.63▼ | 2.26▲ |
| 8.5 | 1.80▼ | 2.02▲ |
| 9 | 1.96▼ | 1.85▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.16▼ | 1.67▲ |
| 10 | 2.40▼ | 1.55▲ |
| 10.5 | 2.58 | 1.48▲ |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Philadelphia PhilliesSt.Louis CardinalsPhiladelphia PhilliesSt.Louis CardinalsSt.Louis CardinalsPhiladelphia PhilliesSt.Louis CardinalsPhiladelphia PhilliesSt.Louis CardinalsPhiladelphia PhilliesLeague standings
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Who is likely to win Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals?+
Our AI model favors Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 52% probability (St.Louis Cardinals 48%).
What time does Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 10:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals?+
Philadelphia Phillies: 3, 0, 4, 0, 0, 4, 0, 1. St.Louis Cardinals: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1. Final: 12-3.