St.Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — | 7 | 8 | 0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-5
The analysis indicates a competitive matchup between the St.Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies. The Cardinals hold a slight edge in their recent head-to-head encounters, winning 2 of the last 5, but have struggled defensively with an average of 4.8 runs conceded per game. In contrast, the Phillies have shown more consistent scoring, leading to a higher implied probability of winning in this context.
- St.Louis Cardinals have won 2 of their last 5 matches against Philadelphia Phillies
- Philadelphia Phillies have a scoring average of 2.7 runs over their last 10 matches
- St.Louis Cardinals concede an average of 4.8 runs per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Philadelphia Phillies
- Poor recent formSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formPhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgePhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Philadelphia Phillies at 53.63% — final result was St.Louis Cardinals win, St.Louis Cardinals 7-1 Philadelphia Phillies.
Predicted score was 3-5.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (68/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- St.Louis Cardinals have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Philadelphia Phillies have averaged 5.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St.Louis Cardinals are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Philadelphia Phillies.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | St.Louis Cardinals | Philadelphia Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 3.62▲ | 1.26 |
| -1 | 3.19▲ | 1.33▼ |
| +1 | 2.04▲ | 1.77▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.80▲ | 2.03▼ |
| +2 | 1.59▲ | 2.32▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.47▲ | 2.59▼ |
| +3 | 1.35▲ | 3.07▼ |
| +3.5 | 1.29▲ | 3.44▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.48▲ | 2.59▼ |
| 7 | 1.59▲ | 2.31▼ |
| 7.5 | 1.81▲ | 2.00▼ |
| 8 | 1.96▲ | 1.85▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.08▲ | 1.74▼ |
| 9 | 2.43▲ | 1.52▼ |
| 9.5 | 2.59▲ | 1.48▼ |
| 10 | 2.92▲ | 1.37▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win St.Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies?+
Our AI model favors Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 53.63% probability (St.Louis Cardinals 46.37%).
What time does St.Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies start?+
First pitch is at Aug 12, 2026, 6:15 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in St.Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies?+
St.Louis Cardinals: 0, 1, 0, 0, 4, 0, 2, 0. Philadelphia Phillies: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 7-1.

