Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals

MLB
LLWWRuns 55-392nd in NL East Division · 74-60
LLWWRuns 49-663rd in NL Central Division · 66-68
Home15W 5L(114-74)
Away8W 12L(91-114)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Philadelphia Phillies
000000006690
St.Louis Cardinals
1001101004100

AI match analysis

Philadelphia Phillies win
60%
St.Louis Cardinals win
30%

Predicted score: 6-4

Data suggests the Philadelphia Phillies have been dominant at home, winning their last five home contests, including two against the St. Louis Cardinals. Historically, recent matchups favor the Phillies, who averaged nearly 6 runs in their last ten games, while the Cardinals have struggled defensively away, conceding over 5 runs per game. The overall trends indicate a strong likelihood of a Phillies victory in this matchup.

  • Philadelphia Phillies won last 5 home games.
  • St.Louis Cardinals lost last 5 away matches against Phillies.
  • Philadelphia Phillies averaging 5.9 runs scored per game in last 10 matches.
  • St.Louis Cardinals conceding an average of 5.1 runs per game in last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
78/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Philadelphia Phillies

  • Good recent formPhiladelphia Phillies

    Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formSt.Louis Cardinals

    St.Louis Cardinals have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Historical edgePhiladelphia Phillies

    Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Philadelphia Phillies at 60% — final result was Philadelphia Phillies win, Philadelphia Phillies 6-4 St.Louis Cardinals.

Predicted score was 6-4.

This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Philadelphia Phillies1.45market 68.8% · model 60%
St.Louis Cardinals2.80market 35.7% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Philadelphia Phillies have averaged 5.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • St.Louis Cardinals have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Philadelphia Phillies are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with St.Louis Cardinals.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Philadelphia Phillies1.45best 1.49AI 60%
St.Louis Cardinals2.80best 2.94AI 30%

Point spread

LinePhiladelphia PhilliesSt.Louis Cardinals
-3.53.451.29
-32.931.38
-2.52.511.51
-22.271.63
-1.51.991.84
-11.622.27
+11.293.48
+1.51.253.77

Total points

LineOverUnder
6.51.482.59
71.582.34
7.51.822.01
81.921.87
8.52.101.72
92.411.55
9.52.671.45
102.871.38

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Philadelphia Phillies1.45 0.01
St.Louis Cardinals2.80 0.06
23 Aug23 Aug

Model vs market

Philadelphia Phillies win-5.8pp
AI
60%
Market
65.8%
St.Louis Cardinals win-4.2pp
AI
30%
Market
34.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Philadelphia Phillies wins
2St.Louis Cardinals wins
26-23Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
2
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
3
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
4
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
5
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
1
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
2
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
3
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
4
Athletics
1345381-18540
5
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1337954+4759
2
New York Yankees
1327557+10457
3
Boston Red Sox
1337360+10155
4
Chicago White Sox
1337063+4453
5
Cleveland Guardians
1346866-451
6
Houston Astros
1336667-4850
7
Texas Rangers
1346668-4749
8
Baltimore Orioles
1336568-2249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1346569-5449
10
Seattle Mariners
1346470-5748
11
Minnesota Twins
1346470-5648
12
Detroit Tigers
1336271+7047
13
Kansas City Royals
1345975-9244
14
Athletics
1345381-18540
15
Los Angeles Angels
1345282-7539
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
5
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
1
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
3
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
4
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
5
New York Mets
1336073-4645
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
4
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
5
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1338251+16762
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1338053+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1337855+11259
4
Chicago Cubs
1347658+11957
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1347460+2355
6
San Diego Padres
1347262+1754
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1347163+553
8
Miami Marlins
1346866+1951
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1346668-1549
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1356570+2448
11
Cincinnati Reds
1346371-10047
12
Washington Nationals
1356273+646
13
New York Mets
1336073-4645
14
San Francisco Giants
1335479-7441
15
Colorado Rockies
1335281-13239

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals?+

Our AI model favors Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 60% probability (St.Louis Cardinals 40%).

What time does Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals start?+

First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:35 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals?+

Philadelphia Phillies: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 6. St.Louis Cardinals: 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 6-4.