Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 6-4
Data suggests the Philadelphia Phillies have been dominant at home, winning their last five home contests, including two against the St. Louis Cardinals. Historically, recent matchups favor the Phillies, who averaged nearly 6 runs in their last ten games, while the Cardinals have struggled defensively away, conceding over 5 runs per game. The overall trends indicate a strong likelihood of a Phillies victory in this matchup.
- Philadelphia Phillies won last 5 home games.
- St.Louis Cardinals lost last 5 away matches against Phillies.
- Philadelphia Phillies averaging 5.9 runs scored per game in last 10 matches.
- St.Louis Cardinals conceding an average of 5.1 runs per game in last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Philadelphia Phillies
- Good recent formPhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formSt.Louis Cardinals
St.Louis Cardinals have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgePhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Philadelphia Phillies at 60% — final result was Philadelphia Phillies win, Philadelphia Phillies 6-4 St.Louis Cardinals.
Predicted score was 6-4.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Philadelphia Phillies have averaged 5.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St.Louis Cardinals have averaged 4.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Philadelphia Phillies are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with St.Louis Cardinals.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Philadelphia Phillies | St.Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 3.45▼ | 1.29▲ |
| -3 | 2.93▼ | 1.38▲ |
| -2.5 | 2.51▼ | 1.51▲ |
| -2 | 2.27▼ | 1.63▲ |
| -1.5 | 1.99▼ | 1.84▲ |
| -1 | 1.62▼ | 2.27▲ |
| +1 | 1.29▲ | 3.48▼ |
| +1.5 | 1.25 | 3.77▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.48▼ | 2.59▲ |
| 7 | 1.58▼ | 2.34▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.82▼ | 2.01▲ |
| 8 | 1.92▼ | 1.87▲ |
| 8.5 | 2.10▼ | 1.72▲ |
| 9 | 2.41▼ | 1.55▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.67▼ | 1.45▲ |
| 10 | 2.87▼ | 1.38▲ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
More MLB predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals?+
Our AI model favors Philadelphia Phillies to win, with a 60% probability (St.Louis Cardinals 40%).
What time does Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals start?+
First pitch is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:35 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Philadelphia Phillies vs St.Louis Cardinals?+
Philadelphia Phillies: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 6. St.Louis Cardinals: 1, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 6-4.

