Racing Santander vs Villarreal
Match events
- 16'Pedro Felipe (Manu Hernando)
- 21'Andrés Martín
- 34'S. Martinez
- 45+1'N. Pépé (G. Mikautadze)
- 45+5'Gustavo Puerta
- 45'P. Gueye (Alberto Moleiro)
- 48'Juan Foyth
- 56'Ayoze Pérez (C. Macia)
- 56'Santi Comesaña (Gerard Moreno)
- 57'Alberto Moleiro (Tajon Buchanan)
- 69'Asier Villalibre (Y. Zabiri)
- 69'S. Martinez (M. Gueye)
- 73'P. Gueye
- 75'Pablo Ramón
- 77'N. Pépé (I. Akhomach)
- 77'Canales (D. Diaz)
- 77'Pablo Ramón (F. Gonzalez)
- 87'Santiago Mouriño
Lineups
- 2.8
- Goals/game
- 2.0
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-3
The statistics suggest a competitive matchup, with Racing Santander unbeaten in their last five games and averaging 2.8 goals scored in that span. Villarreal, although currently strong in league standing, has shown vulnerabilities in their away performances, with two losses in their last five. Additionally, recent head-to-head contests have yielded mixed results, indicating a potential for a closely contested game. The numbers favor Villarreal slightly due to their overall standing and recent form despite the home team's positive run.
- Racing Santander unbeaten in last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw)
- Villarreal's away form shows 2 recent losses
- Racing averages 2.8 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- Previous head-to-head results are closely contested, with recent matches evenly split.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Villarreal
- Higher league positionRacing Santander
Racing Santander sit 1 place above Villarreal in the table.
#6 vs #7 - Strong recent formRacing Santander
Racing Santander are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Sharper attackRacing Santander
Racing Santander are averaging 2.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2.8/game - Tighter defenseVillarreal
Villarreal are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Villarreal at 46% — final result was a draw, Racing Santander 2-2 Villarreal.
Predicted score was 2-3.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Racing Santander have averaged 2.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Villarreal have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Racing Santander | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 7 |  Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
More La Liga predictions
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Atletico MadridVillarrealFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Racing Santander vs Villarreal?+
Our AI model favors Villarreal to win, with a 46% probability (Draw 27%, Racing Santander 27%).
What time does Racing Santander vs Villarreal kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).