Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Seibu Lions
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | X | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
 Seibu Lions | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 2 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-4
The matchup between Rakuten Gold. Eagles and Seibu Lions appears evenly poised, with both teams having equally favorable bookmaker-implied probabilities. The Seibu Lions have performed well overall this season, ranking 2nd in their division, while the Rakuten Gold. Eagles hold steady with a 50% home win rate. Both teams show recent form that suggests a competitive scoring affair, leading to a predicted score of 4 runs each.
- Seibu Lions rank 2nd in the Pacific Division with a 0.549 win percentage this season.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have a home win rate of 50%, showing resilience at home.
- In their last 10 games, Rakuten Gold. Eagles scored an average of 3.7 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game.
- The last 5 head-to-head matchups are closely contested at 3 wins each for Rakuten Gold. Eagles and Seibu Lions.
Confidence is moderate because the two teams are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles
- Tighter defenseSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are conceding just 2.8 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.8/game conceded - Historical edgeSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions sit 4 places above Rakuten Gold. Eagles in the table.
#2 vs #6 - Poor recent formRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rakuten Gold. Eagles at 50% — final result was Seibu Lions win, Rakuten Gold. Eagles 4-6 Seibu Lions.
Predicted score was 4-4.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions have averaged 3.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Seibu Lions.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | Seibu Lions |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.80▲ | 1.39 |
| -1 | 2.31 | 1.50 |
| -0.5 | 1.87 | 1.82 |
| +0.5 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| +1 | 1.57 | 2.19 |
| +1.5 | 1.46▼ | 2.61▲ |
| +2 | 1.33 | 3.05▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.28▼ | 3.37▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 1.47 | 2.52▼ |
| 6 | 1.55 | 2.32 |
| 6.5 | 1.71▲ | 2.06▼ |
| 7 | 1.88▲ | 1.82 |
| 7.5 | 2.13▲ | 1.65 |
| 8 | 2.37▲ | 1.52▼ |
| 8.5 | 2.59▲ | 1.46▼ |
| 9 | 2.98 | 1.32 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 | Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Seibu Lions?+
Our AI model favors Rakuten Gold. Eagles to win, with a 50% probability (Seibu Lions 50%).
What time does Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Seibu Lions start?+
First pitch is at Aug 21, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Seibu Lions?+
Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1. Seibu Lions: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0. Final: 4-6.