Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Seibu Lions
Value found
+13.8% edgeSeibu Lions win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 Seibu Lions | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-6
The data suggests that Seibu Lions have the upper hand against Rakuten Gold. Eagles, with a recent winning streak and better overall performance this season. Seibu Lions' solid pitching, highlighted by their low average runs allowed, coupled with the home team’s recent struggles, indicate they are likely to outperform. Based on these factors, predicted scores favor Seibu Lions, estimating a tally of 6 runs compared to 4 runs for the Eagles.
- Seibu Lions have won 6 of the last 10 matchups against Rakuten Gold. Eagles.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have a win percentage of 0.394 this season compared to Seibu Lions at 0.553.
- In their last 10 games, Seibu Lions are allowing an average of just 2.9 runs per game, showing strong pitching form.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Seibu Lions
- Tighter defenseSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions are conceding just 2.8 runs per game over their recent matches.
2.8/game conceded - Poor recent formRakuten Gold. Eagles
Rakuten Gold. Eagles have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Historical edgeSeibu Lions
Seibu Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
4/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Seibu Lions at 60% — final result was Seibu Lions win, Rakuten Gold. Eagles 0-2 Seibu Lions.
Predicted score was 4-6.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Seibu Lions have averaged 3.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rakuten Gold. Eagles are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Seibu Lions.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | Seibu Lions |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.92▼ | 1.36▲ |
| -1 | 2.36 | 1.48 |
| -0.5 | 1.86 | 1.83 |
| +0.5 | 1.77 | 1.94 |
| +1 | 1.56 | 2.21 |
| +1.5 | 1.45▲ | 2.63▼ |
| +2 | 1.31 | 3.06▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.26 | 3.49▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.40 | 2.72▲ |
| 5.5 | 1.61 | 2.18▲ |
| 6 | 1.73 | 2.00▲ |
| 6.5 | 1.91▼ | 1.83▲ |
| 7 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
| 7.5 | 2.46 | 1.49▲ |
| 8 | 2.76 | 1.36 |
| 8.5 | 3.05 | 1.34 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hanshin Tigers | 115 | 65 | 50 | +66 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Yomiuri Giants | 117 | 63 | 54 | +30 | 54 | — |
| 3 |  Yokohama BayStars | 116 | 52 | 64 | +5 | 45 | — |
| 4 |  Yakult Swallows | 115 | 51 | 64 | -79 | 44 | — |
| 5 |  Chunichi Dragons | 119 | 51 | 68 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 6 |  Hiroshima Carp | 112 | 46 | 66 | -74 | 41 | — |
| 1 |  Fukuoka S. Hawks | 116 | 72 | 44 | +181 | 62 | — |
| 2 | Seibu Lions | 119 | 67 | 52 | +37 | 56 | — |
| 3 |  Nippon Ham Fighters | 119 | 65 | 54 | +64 | 55 | — |
| 4 |  Orix Buffaloes | 118 | 56 | 62 | -71 | 48 | — |
| 5 |  Chiba Lotte Marines | 113 | 52 | 61 | -71 | 46 | — |
| 6 | Rakuten Gold. Eagles | 115 | 45 | 70 | -82 | 39 | — |
More NPB predictions
Nippon Ham FightersChiba Lotte MarinesOrix BuffaloesFukuoka S. HawksSeibu LionsRakuten Gold. EaglesHiroshima CarpYakult SwallowsFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Seibu Lions?+
Our AI model favors Seibu Lions to win, with a 60% probability (Rakuten Gold. Eagles 40%).
What time does Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Seibu Lions start?+
First pitch is at Aug 22, 2026, 9:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Rakuten Gold. Eagles vs Seibu Lions?+
Rakuten Gold. Eagles: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Seibu Lions: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0. Final: 0-2.