Rubin vs Spartak Moscow
Match events
- 6'I. Vujačić
- 12'J. Siwe
- 38'D. Prutsev
- 46'Roman Zobnin (Marquinhos)
- 46'I. Sorokin (M. Ugalde)
- 46'V. Saus (Gedson Fernandes)
- 49'Gedson Fernandes
- 54'I. Samoshnikov (R. Bezrukov)
- 62'M. Ugalde (Gedson Fernandes)
- 62'D. Denisov (R. Litvinov)
- 63'J. Siwe
- 67'V. Hodza (Nazmi Gripshi)
- 76'D. Prutsev (M. Daku)
- 79'Nazmi Gripshi
- 81'I. Rozhkov (Daniil Kuznetsov)
- 81'U. Iwu (Nikita Lobov)
- 90+2'Egor Teslenko
Lineups
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Spartak Moscow has a favorable edge against Rubin, having won 4 of their last 5 matchups. Rubin's struggles are evident as they've managed only 1 win in their last 5 games, with 3 draws. Meanwhile, Spartak has shown some scoring potential, averaging 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 matches.
- Spartak Moscow has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Rubin
- Rubin has drawn 3 of their last 5 matches
- Spartak Moscow averages 1.4 goals scored in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Spartak Moscow
- Historical edgeSpartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackSpartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Good recent formSpartak Moscow
Spartak Moscow have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Tighter defenseRubin
Rubin are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Spartak Moscow at 55% — final result was a draw, Rubin 1-1 Spartak Moscow.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rubin have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Spartak Moscow have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Spartak Moscow
RubinRubinSpartak MoscowRubinSpartak MoscowSpartak MoscowRubinSpartak MoscowRubinRubinSpartak MoscowSpartak MoscowRubinRubinSpartak MoscowOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 6 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Rubin
Spartak Moscow
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AmkarFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rubin vs Spartak Moscow?+
Our AI model favors Spartak Moscow to win, with a 55% probability (Draw 23%, Rubin 22%).
What time does Rubin vs Spartak Moscow kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).