San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego Padres | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
 Pittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-4
Recent form suggests a competitive matchup, with both teams showing fluctuating results. Historically, the Pirates have fared well against the Padres, winning three out of their last five encounters. The Padres are scoring an average of 4.4 runs per game but have shown vulnerability in their defensive performance. Given these factors, a high-scoring draw may be a likely outcome.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have won 3 of the last 5 matchups against San Diego Padres
- San Diego Padres have averaged 4.4 runs scored in their last 10 games
- Pittsburgh Pirates have a slightly better scoring average (3.9) than their goals conceded (3.8) in their last 10 matches
- Recent performance shows San Diego Padres winning 3 out of their last 5 but also losing to the Pirates in their last meeting.
Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors San Diego Padres
- Poor recent formSan Diego Padres
San Diego Padres have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formPittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeSan Diego Padres
San Diego Padres have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Below-average model confidence
Overall model confidence for this match is 30/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked San Diego Padres at 38% — final result was Pittsburgh Pirates win, San Diego Padres 0-1 Pittsburgh Pirates.
Predicted score was 4-4.
The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (30/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Match trends
- San Diego Padres have averaged 3.8 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have averaged 2.6 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- San Diego Padres are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Pittsburgh Pirates.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Philadelphia PhilliesFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates?+
Our AI model favors San Diego Padres to win, with a 38% probability (Pittsburgh Pirates 62%).
What time does San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates start?+
First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 1:40 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates?+
San Diego Padres: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Pittsburgh Pirates: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1. Final: 0-1.