San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 San Diego Padres | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | — | 3 | 7 | 0 |
 Pittsburgh Pirates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 3-2
The data suggests a competitive matchup, with San Diego Padres noted for a solid home performance recently, scoring an average of 3.7 goals over their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Pirates have struggled in their away games, with a recent loss streak against the Dodgers influencing their form. Historically, the Pirates have had the upper hand in recent head-to-head encounters, which may give them confidence heading into this match.
- San Diego Padres have won 3 of their last 5 home games against various opponents
- Pittsburgh Pirates lost 3 of their last 5 away games against Los Angeles Dodgers
- The last 5 head-to-head matches show Pittsburgh Pirates winning 3 out of 5 against Padres
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors San Diego Padres
- Good recent formSan Diego Padres
San Diego Padres have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Poor recent formPittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Historical edgePittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 50% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked San Diego Padres at 50% — final result was San Diego Padres win, San Diego Padres 3-0 Pittsburgh Pirates.
Predicted score was 3-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (62/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- San Diego Padres have averaged 3.9 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Pittsburgh Pirates have averaged 3.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- San Diego Padres are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Pittsburgh Pirates.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | San Diego Padres | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3.26▼ | 1.32▲ |
| -2 | 3.02▼ | 1.38▲ |
| -1.5 | 2.50▼ | 1.53▲ |
| -1 | 2.09▼ | 1.74▲ |
| +1 | 1.52▼ | 2.50▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.42▼ | 2.78▲ |
| +2 | 1.25▼ | 3.58▲ |
| +2.5 | 1.24▼ | 3.77▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.40 | 2.83▼ |
| 7 | 1.48▼ | 2.55▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.69▲ | 2.14▼ |
| 8 | 1.82 | 1.97▲ |
| 8.5 | 1.97▲ | 1.86 |
| 9 | 2.25▲ | 1.63 |
| 9.5 | 2.47▲ | 1.52 |
| 10 | 2.80▲ | 1.41 |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
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Tampa Bay RaysSan Diego PadresFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates?+
Our AI model favors San Diego Padres to win, with a 50% probability (Pittsburgh Pirates 50%).
What time does San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates start?+
First pitch is at Aug 26, 2026, 8:10 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates?+
San Diego Padres: 0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1. Pittsburgh Pirates: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 3-0.