Sao Paulo vs Bolívar
Match events
- 16'Erwin Saavedra
- 18'Luciano (Danielzinho)
- 26'Danielzinho
- 27'Dairon Asprilla
- 40'S. Echeverría
- 58'Buta
- 61'Dairon Asprilla (Patricio Rodríguez)
- 64'Patricio Rodríguez
- 66'Jonathan Calleri
- 71'S. Echeverría (Billy Arce)
- 72'Buta (Lucas Ramon)
- 72'Erwin Saavedra (Ervin Vaca)
- 72'Patricio Rodríguez (Damian Batallini)
- 76'Sabino (Artur)
- 79'Luciano
- 80'Luciano (Pablo Maia)
- 80'Artur (Ferreirinha)
- 87'Marcos Antônio (Victor Sá)
- 87'Jonathan Calleri (André Silva)
- 88'Robson Matheus (Bruno Miranda)
- 90'Dorny Romero (M. Cauteruccio)
- 1.1
- Goals/game
- 3.4
- 1.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Sao Paulo has a strong home advantage, remaining unbeaten in three matches this season. In contrast, Bolívar's recent scoring form is impressive, averaging over three goals per game, though they face a tough challenge away. The last encounter ended in a draw, indicating potential competitive parity, but Sao Paulo's overall form could tilt the result in their favor.
- Sao Paulo unbeaten at home this season with 2 wins and 1 draw
- Bolívar scored an average of 3.4 goals in their last 10 matches
- Head-to-head results show a recent draw, indicating competitive balance
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sao Paulo
- Sharper attackBolívar
Bolívar are averaging 3.4 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
3.4/game - Strong recent formBolívar
Bolívar are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Tighter defenseBolívar
Bolívar are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sao Paulo at 67.57% — final result was Sao Paulo win, Sao Paulo 3-1 Bolívar.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sao Paulo have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Bolívar have averaged 3.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 | DDDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Sao Paulo
Bolívar
More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sao Paulo vs Bolívar?+
Our AI model favors Sao Paulo to win, with a 67.57% probability (Draw 20.56%, Bolívar 11.87%).
What time does Sao Paulo vs Bolívar kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 19, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).