Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion
Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción · Capacity 3,000 · grass · Referee: D. Lopez
Match events
- 37'Roberto Ramírez
- 38'Card upgrade — Roberto Ramírez
- 44'C. Gonzalez (Nelson Gauto)
- 45+5'R. Santa Cruz
- 46'I. Valdez (O. Gaona Lugo)
- 55'R. Santa Cruz (R. Prieto)
- 63'Alan Tobías Morinigo (Nicolas Mana)
- 64'F. Jara
- 66'Nicolas Mana
- 70'Tomas Rayer (L. Abreu)
- 70'L. de La Cruz (A. B. Cano Esteche)
- 71'L. Meza
- 72'L. Abreu
- 77'Armando Ruiz Diaz (F. Baruja)
- 77'Nelson Gauto (J. Marcelino)
- 79'H. A. Benitez (I. Bailone)
- 79'F. Jara (Á. Cardozo Lucena)
- 86'F. Baruja
- 90+1'L. Meza (R. Melgarejo)
Lineups
- 0.6
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 0.5
- Conceded/game
- 0.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a tightly contested match between Sportivo Trinidense and Nacional Asuncion, as both teams have displayed defensive resilience in recent performances. With Sportivo Trinidense unbeaten at home this season and Nacional Asuncion struggling in away matches, the numbers favor a low-scoring draw as a likely outcome.
- Sportivo Trinidense unbeaten at home this season with 1 win in 1 match
- Both teams have had low-scoring recent matches, averaging under 1 goal per game
- Last five head-to-head encounters have not resulted in any team winning outright in regular time
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sportivo Trinidense
- Strong home recordSportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins - Weak away recordNacional Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.
0/3 away wins - Strong recent formNacional Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Historical edgeNacional Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sportivo Trinidense at 36% — final result was a draw, Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 Nacional Asuncion.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (67/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Sportivo Trinidense have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nacional Asuncion have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo TrinidenseNacional AsuncionSportivo TrinidenseNacional AsuncionNacional AsuncionSportivo TrinidenseSportivo TrinidenseNacional AsuncionNacional AsuncionSportivo TrinidenseSportivo TrinidenseNacional AsuncionNacional AsuncionSportivo TrinidenseOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 | DLWW |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 | DDLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. Lopez
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1C. BenitezSportivo Trinidense7.7
- 2A. da SilveiraSportivo Trinidense7.5
- 3S. VargasNacional Asuncion7.3
- 4L. de La CruzSportivo Trinidense7.2
- 5C. GonzalezSportivo Trinidense⚽ 17.0
- 6R. PrietoNacional Asuncion6.9
Box score
Sportivo Trinidense
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Bench (12)
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Nacional Asuncion
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Bench (12)
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Sportivo LuquenoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion?+
Our AI model favors Sportivo Trinidense to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 29%, Nacional Asuncion 35%).
Where is Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion played?+
The match is played at Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción (capacity 3,000).
What time does Sportivo Trinidense vs Nacional Asuncion kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).