Washington Mystics W vs Los Angeles Sparks W
Entertainment and Sports Arena
Value found
+82.9% edgeLos Angeles Sparks W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 162 total points vs the market's 172.5 line — leans under by 10.5 points.
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Washington Mystics W | 24 | 17 | 14 | 25 | 80 |
 Los Angeles Sparks W | 21 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 70 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 73-89
The data suggests that Los Angeles Sparks are in a stronger position with a 55% away win rate, while the Washington Mystics have struggled recently, losing 8 of their last 10 games. Historically, the Sparks have been successful in their encounters with the Mystics, winning 4 of their last 5 matchups. The predicted outcome points to Sparks taking the victory in this matchup.
- Los Angeles Sparks have a 55% away win rate this season.
- Washington Mystics have lost 8 of their last 10 games, averaging 71.8 points scored per game.
- Head-to-head history shows Los Angeles Sparks winning 4 of the last 5 matchups against Washington Mystics.
Confidence is moderate because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Los Angeles Sparks W
- Sharper attackLos Angeles Sparks W
Los Angeles Sparks W are averaging 79.6 points scored per game over their recent matches.
79.6/game - Good recent formWashington Mystics W
Washington Mystics W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Poor recent formLos Angeles Sparks W
Los Angeles Sparks W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Historical edgeLos Angeles Sparks W
Los Angeles Sparks W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Los Angeles Sparks W at 60% — final result was Washington Mystics W win, Washington Mystics W 80-70 Los Angeles Sparks W.
Predicted score was 73-89.
The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (46/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Washington Mystics W have averaged 84.2 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Los Angeles Sparks W have averaged 79.6 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Mystics W are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Los Angeles Sparks W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Washington Mystics W | Los Angeles Sparks W |
|---|---|---|
| -8.5 | 2.12▼ | 1.66▲ |
| -8 | 2.09▼ | 1.69▲ |
| -7.5 | 1.99▼ | 1.76▲ |
| -7 | 1.96 | 1.82▲ |
| -6.5 | 1.89▼ | 1.89▲ |
| -6 | 1.82▲ | 1.95 |
| -5.5 | 1.75▼ | 2.01▲ |
| -5 | 1.70 | 2.07▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 170 | 1.75▼ | 2.00▲ |
| 170.5 | 1.77▼ | 1.98▲ |
| 171.5 | 1.80▼ | 1.94▲ |
| 172 | 1.83▼ | 1.92▲ |
| 172.5 | 1.89▼ | 1.86▲ |
| 173 | 1.90 | 1.84▼ |
| 173.5 | 1.98 | 1.78▲ |
| 174 | 1.98▲ | 1.76 |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Match statistics
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Los Angeles Sparks WWashington Mystics WLos Angeles Sparks WWashington Mystics WWashington Mystics WLos Angeles Sparks WWashington Mystics WLos Angeles Sparks WLos Angeles Sparks WWashington Mystics WLeague standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 2 |  Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 3 |  New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 4 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 6 |  Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 7 |  Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 1 |  Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — |
| 5 | Indiana Fever W | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — |
| 6 | New York Liberty W | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — |
| 7 | Washington Mystics W | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — |
| 8 |  Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 9 |  Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 10 | Chicago Sky W | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — |
| 11 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 13 | Toronto Tempo W | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — |
| 14 | Connecticut Sun W | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx W | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — |
| 2 | Golden State Valkyries W | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — |
| 3 | Las Vegas Aces W | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — |
| 4 | Dallas Wings W | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — |
| 5 | Portland Fire W | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — |
| 6 | Los Angeles Sparks W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — |
| 7 | Phoenix Mercury W | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — |
| 8 | Seattle Storm W | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
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Who is likely to win Washington Mystics W vs Los Angeles Sparks W?+
Our AI model favors Los Angeles Sparks W to win, with a 60% probability (Washington Mystics W 40%).
What time does Washington Mystics W vs Los Angeles Sparks W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 15, 2026, 11:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Washington Mystics W vs Los Angeles Sparks W?+
Washington Mystics W: 24-17-14-25. Los Angeles Sparks W: 21-18-19-12. Final: 80-70.