Los Angeles Sparks W vs Washington Mystics W
Crypto.com Arena
Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 10:00 PM (stadium time)
Your time: —
Value found
+10.6% edgeLos Angeles Sparks W win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Total points edge
AI expects 164 total points vs the market's 167.5 line — leans under by 3.5 points.
AI match analysis
Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed
Predicted score: 78-86
Statistical analysis suggests that the Washington Mystics W hold an advantage over the Los Angeles Sparks W, given their higher season win rate and recent head-to-head success. The Sparks have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 87.7 points in their last 10 games, which could be pivotal against a Mystics team averaging 81.9 points during the same span.
- Washington Mystics W has a 60% win rate this season compared to the Sparks' 35%.
- In their last 10 games, Los Angeles Sparks W averaged 80.5 points scored but allowed 87.7 points.
- Historically, the Mystics have won 4 of the last 5 matchups against the Sparks.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.
Why AI favors Washington Mystics W
- Poor recent formLos Angeles Sparks W
Los Angeles Sparks W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formWashington Mystics W
Washington Mystics W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Tighter defenseWashington Mystics W
Washington Mystics W are conceding just 84.1 points per game over their recent matches.
84.1/game conceded - Historical edgeLos Angeles Sparks W
Los Angeles Sparks W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
Match trends
- Los Angeles Sparks W have averaged 80.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Mystics W have averaged 81.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Los Angeles Sparks W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Mystics W.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Los Angeles Sparks W | Washington Mystics W |
|---|---|---|
| +3 | 2.13▼ | 1.66▲ |
| +3.5 | 2.03▼ | 1.73▲ |
| +4 | 1.99▼ | 1.78▲ |
| +4.5 | 1.90▼ | 1.86▲ |
| +5 | 1.85▼ | 1.93▲ |
| +5.5 | 1.79▼ | 1.97▲ |
| +6 | 1.72▼ | 2.05▲ |
| +6.5 | 1.69▼ | 2.08▲ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 165.5 | 1.73▲ | 2.04▼ |
| 166 | 1.77▼ | 1.98▲ |
| 166.5 | 1.80▲ | 1.95▼ |
| 167 | 1.86 | 1.89 |
| 167.5 | 1.89▲ | 1.87 |
| 168 | 1.92 | 1.81 |
| 168.5 | 1.96▲ | 1.77▼ |
| 169 | 2.00 | 1.74 |
Double chance
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Players to watch
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | L | Diff | Win% | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 2 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 7 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 37 | 24 | 13 | +207 | 65 | — | |
| 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | +222 | 64 | — | |
| 6 | 38 | 23 | 15 | +119 | 61 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 22 | 15 | -19 | 60 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 9 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 10 | 38 | 15 | 23 | -95 | 40 | — | |
| 11 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 12 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 13 | 37 | 11 | 26 | -237 | 30 | — | |
| 14 | 36 | 9 | 27 | -288 | 25 | — | |
| 15 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — | |
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 7 | +337 | 82 | — | |
| 2 | 36 | 25 | 11 | +212 | 69 | — | |
| 3 | 39 | 26 | 13 | +143 | 67 | — | |
| 4 | 38 | 22 | 16 | +102 | 58 | — | |
| 5 | 37 | 15 | 22 | -162 | 41 | — | |
| 6 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -193 | 35 | — | |
| 7 | 37 | 13 | 24 | -138 | 35 | — | |
| 8 | 38 | 7 | 31 | -210 | 18 | — |
Season comparison
Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.
More NBA W predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Los Angeles Sparks W vs Washington Mystics W?+
Our AI model favors Washington Mystics W to win, with a 58% probability (Los Angeles Sparks W 42%).
What time does Los Angeles Sparks W vs Washington Mystics W start?+
Tip-off is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

