Los Angeles Sparks W vs Washington Mystics W

NBA W
LLWLPts 805-87711th in Overall Standings · 13-24
LWWWPts 819-8414th in Eastern Conference · 22-15
Home9W 11L(1702-1786)
Away7W 13L(1552-1678)
Kicks off in

Crypto.com Arena

Kickoff: Aug 28, 2026, 10:00 PM (stadium time)

Value found

+10.6% edge

Los Angeles Sparks W win

2.38AI fair odds
2.63Bookmaker odds
+10.6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Total points edge

AI expects 164 total points vs the market's 167.5 line — leans under by 3.5 points.

Today
Tip-off
In Progress
Final

AI match analysis

Preliminary — updates once lineups are confirmed

Los Angeles Sparks W win
42%
Washington Mystics W win
58%

Predicted score: 78-86

Statistical analysis suggests that the Washington Mystics W hold an advantage over the Los Angeles Sparks W, given their higher season win rate and recent head-to-head success. The Sparks have struggled defensively, allowing an average of 87.7 points in their last 10 games, which could be pivotal against a Mystics team averaging 81.9 points during the same span.

  • Washington Mystics W has a 60% win rate this season compared to the Sparks' 35%.
  • In their last 10 games, Los Angeles Sparks W averaged 80.5 points scored but allowed 87.7 points.
  • Historically, the Mystics have won 4 of the last 5 matchups against the Sparks.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
76/100

Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly. Shown in English — a localized version is being prepared.

Why AI favors Washington Mystics W

  • Poor recent formLos Angeles Sparks W

    Los Angeles Sparks W have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 0D 4L
  • Good recent formWashington Mystics W

    Washington Mystics W have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Tighter defenseWashington Mystics W

    Washington Mystics W are conceding just 84.1 points per game over their recent matches.

    84.1/game conceded
  • Historical edgeLos Angeles Sparks W

    Los Angeles Sparks W have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

Match trends

  • Los Angeles Sparks W have averaged 80.5 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Washington Mystics W have averaged 81.9 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Los Angeles Sparks W are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Washington Mystics W.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Los Angeles Sparks W2.63best 2.80AI 42%
Washington Mystics W1.48best 1.52AI 58%

Point spread

LineLos Angeles Sparks WWashington Mystics W
+32.131.66
+3.52.031.73
+41.991.78
+4.51.901.86
+51.851.93
+5.51.791.97
+61.722.05
+6.51.692.08

Total points

LineOverUnder
165.51.732.04
1661.771.98
166.51.801.95
1671.861.89
167.51.891.87
1681.921.81
168.51.961.77
1692.001.74

Double chance

Home/Draw2.33
Draw/Away1.40

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Los Angeles Sparks W2.63 0.11
Washington Mystics W1.48 0.03
28 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Los Angeles Sparks W win+6pp
AI
42%
Market
36%
Washington Mystics W win-6pp
AI
58%
Market
64%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Players to watch

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Los Angeles Sparks W wins
2Washington Mystics W wins
429-419Points

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
2
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
3
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
4
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
5
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
6
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
7
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Atlanta Dream W
372413+20765
5
Indiana Fever W
392514+22264
6
New York Liberty W
382315+11961
7
Washington Mystics W
372215-1960
8
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
9
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
10
Chicago Sky W
381523-9540
11
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
12
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
13
Toronto Tempo W
371126-23730
14
Connecticut Sun W
36927-28825
15
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018
1
Minnesota Lynx W
38317+33782
2
Golden State Valkyries W
362511+21269
3
Las Vegas Aces W
392613+14367
4
Dallas Wings W
382216+10258
5
Portland Fire W
371522-16241
6
Los Angeles Sparks W
371324-19335
7
Phoenix Mercury W
371324-13835
8
Seattle Storm W
38731-21018

Season comparison

82.9Points scored per game78.1
88.7Points allowed per game83.9
48.3%Field goal %47.3%
30.6%3-point %31.9%
78.4%Free throw %72.9%
32.1Rebounds per game34.3
20.9Assists per game20.6
15.5Turnovers per game14.8

Based on each team's last 20 and 20 finished games.

More NBA W predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Los Angeles Sparks W vs Washington Mystics W?+

Our AI model favors Washington Mystics W to win, with a 58% probability (Los Angeles Sparks W 42%).

What time does Los Angeles Sparks W vs Washington Mystics W start?+

Tip-off is at Aug 29, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).