Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies

MLB
LWWWRuns 42-414th in NL East Division · 64-73
WLLLRuns 35-565th in NL West Division · 52-83
Home9W 11L(101-118)
Away6W 14L(75-114)
Today
First pitch
In Progress
Final

Box score

Team123456789RHE
Washington Nationals
200110037130
Colorado Rockies
001000000150

AI match analysis

Washington Nationals win
48.68%
Colorado Rockies win
42.42%

Predicted score: 3-4

The analysis indicates that Colorado Rockies have had recent success against Washington Nationals, winning 3 of their last 5 encounters. Despite the Rockies' higher scoring average over their last 10 matches, both teams have struggled defensively, which might lead to a high-scoring game. The numbers suggest a slight edge for the Rockies based on recent form and head-to-head results.

  • Colorado Rockies have won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Washington Nationals
  • Washington Nationals have conceded an average of 4.3 runs per game in their last 10 matches
  • Colorado Rockies scored an average of 5.3 runs in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
59/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Washington Nationals

  • Good recent formWashington Nationals

    Washington Nationals have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formColorado Rockies

    Colorado Rockies have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Historical edgeColorado Rockies

    Colorado Rockies have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 49% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Washington Nationals at 48.68% — final result was Washington Nationals win, Washington Nationals 7-1 Colorado Rockies.

Predicted score was 3-4.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (59/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Washington Nationals1.80market 55.5% · model 48.68%
Colorado Rockies2.04market 49% · model 42.42%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Washington Nationals have averaged 4.2 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Colorado Rockies have averaged 3.5 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Washington Nationals are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Colorado Rockies.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Washington Nationals1.80best 1.85AI 48.68%
Colorado Rockies2.04best 2.10AI 42.42%

Point spread

LineWashington NationalsColorado Rockies
-2.53.251.32
-23.021.39
-1.52.561.50
-12.151.68
+11.612.28
+1.51.502.56
+21.392.97
+2.51.323.26

Total points

LineOverUnder
7.51.442.71
81.492.54
8.51.612.27
91.752.02
9.51.951.87
102.091.70
10.52.241.62
112.571.47

Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Washington Nationals1.80 0.05
Colorado Rockies2.04 0.06
27 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Washington Nationals win-4.4pp
AI
48.68%
Market
53.1%
Colorado Rockies win-4.5pp
AI
42.42%
Market
46.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Washington Nationals wins
3Colorado Rockies wins
20-25Runs

League standings

#TeamPWLDiffWin%Form
1
Chicago White Sox
1347163+4753
2
Cleveland Guardians
1356867-750
3
Minnesota Twins
1356471-5947
4
Detroit Tigers
1346272+6946
5
Kansas City Royals
1366175-7845
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1348054+5260
2
New York Yankees
1347658+10157
3
Boston Red Sox
1347361+10055
4
Baltimore Orioles
1356669-2349
5
Toronto Blue Jays
1366670-5849
1
Houston Astros
1356867-4250
2
Texas Rangers
1356669-5249
3
Seattle Mariners
1356471-6447
4
Athletics
1355382-18639
5
Los Angeles Angels
1355283-7739
1
Tampa Bay Rays
1348054+5260
2
New York Yankees
1347658+10157
3
Boston Red Sox
1347361+10055
4
Chicago White Sox
1347163+4753
5
Cleveland Guardians
1356867-750
6
Houston Astros
1356867-4250
7
Baltimore Orioles
1356669-2349
8
Texas Rangers
1356669-5249
9
Toronto Blue Jays
1366670-5849
10
Seattle Mariners
1356471-6447
11
Minnesota Twins
1356471-5947
12
Detroit Tigers
1346272+6946
13
Kansas City Royals
1366175-7845
14
Athletics
1355382-18639
15
Los Angeles Angels
1355283-7739
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1358451+17862
2
Chicago Cubs
1357659+11756
3
St.Louis Cardinals
1366868-1050
4
Pittsburgh Pirates
1366571+2148
5
Cincinnati Reds
1356471-9847
1
Atlanta Braves
1358055+11559
2
Philadelphia Phillies
1357560+2556
3
Miami Marlins
1356867+1250
4
Washington Nationals
1376473+1947
5
New York Mets
1356075-5444
1
Los Angeles Dodgers
1358154+14960
2
San Diego Padres
1357263+1253
3
Arizona Diamondbacks
1367264+453
4
San Francisco Giants
1355580-7341
5
Colorado Rockies
1355283-14039
1
Milwaukee Brewers
1358451+17862
2
Los Angeles Dodgers
1358154+14960
3
Atlanta Braves
1358055+11559
4
Chicago Cubs
1357659+11756
5
Philadelphia Phillies
1357560+2556
6
San Diego Padres
1357263+1253
7
Arizona Diamondbacks
1367264+453
8
Miami Marlins
1356867+1250
9
St.Louis Cardinals
1366868-1050
10
Pittsburgh Pirates
1366571+2148
11
Cincinnati Reds
1356471-9847
12
Washington Nationals
1376473+1947
13
New York Mets
1356075-5444
14
San Francisco Giants
1355580-7341
15
Colorado Rockies
1355283-14039

More MLB predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies?+

Our AI model favors Washington Nationals to win, with a 48.68% probability (Colorado Rockies 51.32%).

What time does Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies start?+

First pitch is at Aug 27, 2026, 5:05 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the inning-by-inning score in Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies?+

Washington Nationals: 2, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 3. Colorado Rockies: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 7-1.