Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies
Box score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Washington Nationals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
 Colorado Rockies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 4-3
Data suggests the Washington Nationals are favored to win based on their recent performance against the Colorado Rockies, having won 13-3 in their last encounter. The Rockies continue to struggle away from home, reflected in their 25% win rate this season and their poor run protection recently. The Nationals' home advantage, coupled with the Rockies' defensive issues, tilts the analysis in favor of a Nationals victory.
- Washington Nationals have won 8 of their last 10 matchups against the Colorado Rockies.
- Colorado Rockies have a poor away win rate of just 25% this season.
- Recent form shows the Nationals averaging 3.3 runs scored and 3.6 runs allowed, while the Rockies allowed an average of 7.3 runs over their last 10 games.
Confidence is high because the win-probability gap between the two teams is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Washington Nationals
- Tighter defenseWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals are conceding just 4 runs per game over their recent matches.
4/game conceded - Sharper attackColorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies are averaging 4.1 runs scored per game over their recent matches.
4.1/game - Historical edgeWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Higher league positionWashington Nationals
Washington Nationals sit 1 place above Colorado Rockies in the table.
#4 vs #5
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Washington Nationals at 60% — final result was Colorado Rockies win, Washington Nationals 1-3 Colorado Rockies.
Predicted score was 4-3.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Washington Nationals have averaged 3.4 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Colorado Rockies have averaged 4.1 runs scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Washington Nationals are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Colorado Rockies.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Washington Nationals | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| -3 | 3.62 | 1.27 |
| -2.5 | 3.01 | 1.38 |
| -2 | 2.71▼ | 1.44 |
| -1.5 | 2.33▼ | 1.62▲ |
| -1 | 1.91▼ | 1.88▲ |
| +1 | 1.45▼ | 2.67▲ |
| +1.5 | 1.38▼ | 2.99▲ |
| +2 | 1.25▲ | 3.75▼ |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.40▲ | 2.84▲ |
| 7 | 1.48▼ | 2.53▲ |
| 7.5 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 8 | 1.79▲ | 1.98 |
| 8.5 | 1.95▼ | 1.87▲ |
| 9 | 2.18▼ | 1.65▲ |
| 9.5 | 2.42▼ | 1.54▲ |
| 10 | 2.71▼ | 1.43▼ |
Average price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Washington NationalsColorado RockiesWashington NationalsColorado RockiesWashington NationalsColorado RockiesWashington NationalsColorado RockiesWashington NationalsColorado RockiesLeague standings
More MLB predictions
Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies
Athletics
Baltimore Orioles
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
New York Yankees
Boston Red SoxFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies?+
Our AI model favors Washington Nationals to win, with a 60% probability (Colorado Rockies 40%).
What time does Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies start?+
First pitch is at Aug 25, 2026, 10:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the inning-by-inning score in Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies?+
Washington Nationals: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0. Colorado Rockies: 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0. Final: 1-3.